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A fistfight broke out in Turkey’s parliament on Friday when an opposition deputy was attacked after calling for his colleague, jailed on charges of organizing anti-government protests but since elected an MP, to be admitted to the assembly.

Video footage showed MPs for the ruling Justice and Development party (AKP) rushing in to punch Ahmet Sik, a member of the Workers’ Party of Turkey (TIP), at the lectern and dozens more joining a melee, some trying to hold others back. Blood spattered the white steps of the speaker’s podium.

Can Atalay was sentenced to 18 years in 2022 after being accused of trying to overthrow the government by allegedly organizing the nationwide Gezi Park protests in 2013 with philanthropist Osman Kavala, also now jailed, and six others. All deny the charges.

Despite his imprisonment, Atalay was elected to parliament in May last year to represent the TIP. Parliament stripped him of his seat, but on Aug. 1 the Constitutional Court declared his exclusion null and void.

“We’re not surprised that you call Can Atalay a terrorist, just as you do everyone who does not side with you,” Sik told AKP lawmakers in a speech.

“But the biggest terrorists are the ones sitting in these seats,” he added.

The deputy parliament speaker declared a 45-minute recess after the fistfight.

The TIP also called for Atalay’s release from prison.

Though not often, brawls are not unheard-of in Turkish parliament. In June, AKP lawmakers scuffled with pro-Kurdish DEM Party MPs over the detention and replacement of a DEM Party mayor in southeast Turkey for alleged militant links.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

A blaze has broken out at London’s historic Somerset House with more than 100 firefighters at the scene working to contain it.

Smoke could be seen rising over central London from the building’s roof. Firefighters are working from a crane to fight the fire.

Around 125 firefighters and 20 fire engines have been deployed, according to the London Fire Brigade.

The crews are fighting flames located in part of the building’s roof, the fire brigade said in a statement, with two of the brigade’s 32-meter (nearly 105 foot) ladders being used.

The cause of the fire is not yet known, the statement said, and Somerset House has been closed to the public whilst the fire is being tackled.

The complex was first built in the 1500s, though it was demolished and rebuilt in the 1700s.

The house gets its name from Edward Seymour, Duke of Somerset, who built it as a palace for himself in 1547. The Duke was executed at the Tower in London a few years later, and ownership of his palace passed to the Crown.

In 1604, the Treaty of London was signed within the building, ending the 19-year Anglo-Spanish War. It later served as the headquarters for the parliamentary army during the English Civil War, and narrowly escaped burning in the Great Fire of London in 1666.

Somerset House is now the host of creative events and exhibitions. It is home to the Cortauld Gallery, which counts works by Manet, Van Gogh, and Monet among those in its collection. Kings College London has its school of law in the complex’s east wing.

It has served as a versatile filming location and can be spotted in the backdrops of films and TV shows like ‘Downton Abbey,’ ‘Love Actually,’ and ‘X Men: First Class.’

On Saturday, it said a dance battle was supposed to be held in the building’s open air courtyard, with “a day of dance and breaking showcases, workshops, live DJs and a big outdoor party, all culminating in a head-to-head dance battle between the four corners of London.”

“All staff and public are safe and the site is closed,” Somerset House said in a statement on its website. “The London Fire Brigade arrived swiftly and we’re working very closely with them to control the spread of the fire,” it added.

This story has been updated with additional information.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Russia is scrambling to shore up its defenses more than a week into Ukraine’s shock, lightning attack across the border on the southern Kursk region.

A sizeable trench has been dug across countryside near the town of Selektsionnyi, around 45 kilometers (about 28 miles) from the border, in Kursk, satellite imagery showed. Online job adverts for trench diggers have emerged. “Payment every week,” promised one.

Trenches, west of Lgov, Russia Maxar Technologies

But after months on the backfoot, losing ground in grinding battles in their own territory, just how were the Ukrainians able to catch Moscow by surprise and penetrate the Russian homeland?

First: superb operational security. Nothing about the operation leaked. Based on videos from the ground and satellite imagery of their advance, the troop movements almost seemed like an exercise or a defensive reinforcement.

The force was built up under cover of thick summer foliage along the rural roads of Sumy region, in northeast Ukraine. Experienced, battle-hardened units were brought up or diverted from other areas. Units such as the 82nd Air Assault Brigade, which had until recently been fighting in nearby Kharkiv region, were pulled into the mission to breach the border, according to multiple videos and social media accounts.

Among the detailed preparations was precise intelligence on the readiness and ability of Russian units on the border, and the number of obstacles that lay ahead, from minefields to tank traps. There weren’t many.

Ukrainian forces also used detailed knowledge of the geography to launch the attack, using forest belts for cover and roads for speed. It was only in the last days before the incursion began that commanders were briefed on the mission.

“The key, in terms of Ukraine’s success, [was that] they managed to penetrate Russian territory quite easily with little to no resistance. It was a complete surprise for the Russians, and it demonstrates that Russian intelligence services really failed to foresee any sort of Ukrainian incursion into the region,” said Seskuria.

Having established weak points in Russian defenses, the first Ukrainian units stormed into Kursk on the afternoon of August 6.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Thursday that Ukrainian forces had taken control of Sudzha – the first official confirmation that the troops, which have been in the town since last Wednesday, had captured it.

The town is an important transit point for gas supples from Russia to Europe via Ukraine. Satellite images showed a gas terminal at a nearby border point in ruins.

In their charge across the border, Ukrainians have used fast, resilient western-made armored vehicles: Strykers and Marders. Small mobile groups of special forces swiftly fanned out to dozens of locations as the Russian military scrambled to assess the strength of the assault.

Key to their success: air defenses and supporting artillery, as well as jamming to prevent the Russian military from communicating. Thermal protection for their body armor also helped soldiers evade heat-detecting drones.

Within hours of crossing the border, the Ukrainians were close to Sudzha. Many of its residents were sent scrambling on hair-raising escapes, some cursing the Russian military for abandoning them.

As the operation unfolded, Ukrainian soldiers posted video of themselves in front of village signs before vanishing, part of a parallel campaign of psychological warfare.

“I think that has a great value in terms of information warfare because these images, videos that we see … that is a really good morale boost for Ukrainians,” said RUSI’s Seskuria.

Rather than confront Russian units head-on, advanced Ukrainian units bypassed them, cutting them off. The Russian military command struggled to keep up with where the threat was emanating from.

The head of Ukraine’s armed forces, Oleksandr Syrskyi, said Thursday that Ukrainian forces had captured 1,150 square kilometers (about 444 square miles) of territory and 82 settlements since the start of the surprise incursion.

More than a week after the incursion began, the Ukrainians were still probing for weaknesses, consolidating their hold on a band of territory 35 kilometers (about 22 miles) deep – even providing Russian civilians with emergency food aid.

“[Ukraine’s] strategic aim would be to divert Russian forces from offensive operations in the Donetsk oblast, where Russians have been making some advances in the recent months… that would be an obvious intention, to ease the military pressure in Ukraine.”

Seskuria added that Ukraine’s recent activity might provide Ukraine with “a better negotiating position when it comes to any sort of peace talks in the future.” Indeed Mykhailo Podolyak, an aide to Zelensky, said the incursion was aimed at persuading Russia to enter a “fair negotiation process.”

Russian military bloggers are apoplectic about the lack of readiness and the slow response to the incursion.

The Russian Defense Ministry insisted this week it was repelling Ukrainian advances and taking prisoners, but Russia’s reinforcements were struggling to retake ground, outmaneuvered and hit with missiles and artillery.

“The offensive is culminating, and the battleground is stabilizing. Nonetheless, the Ukrainian military has already secured operational depth. If they can set robust defensive positions … they can stay inside Russian territory for a long time,” he said.

Kursk would be Ukraine’s “crown jewel” when negotiating an end to the conflict, Kasapoğlu added, if Kyiv manages to hold on to the seized territory.

Lizzy Yee, Paul Murphy, Avery Schmitz and Isaac Yee contributed reporting.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

The safety situation at Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant is deteriorating after a drone strike on a nearby road, the United Nations’ energy watchdog warned Saturday.

The plant, in southern Ukraine, has been under Russian control since March 2022.

“Yet again we see an escalation of the nuclear safety and security dangers facing the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. I remain extremely concerned and reiterate my call for maximum restraint from all sides and for strict observance of the five concrete principles established for the protection of the plant,” the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi said in a press release Saturday.

The power plant informed the IAEA that a drone struck just outside the plant’s protected area near the “essential cooling water sprinkler ponds and about 100 meters from the Dniprovska power line, the only remaining 750 kilovolt line providing a power supply to (the power plant),” an IAEA statement said.

The IAEA team visited the area and reported that the damage seemed to have been caused by a drone. There were no casualties and no damaged equipment, but the road was damaged between the two main gates to the plant.

Russian state media outlet TASS claimed that staff at the power plant had accused Ukraine of the drone strike.

“At 7 a.m. Moscow time, the Ukrainian drone dropped a shell on the road that runs along the power units outside the perimeter. Personnel use this road all the time. No one was injured, but once again a direct threat to the safety of personnel and the plant was created,” it said.

Ukraine has not yet publicly commented on the strike. However, Russia and Ukraine have blamed previous incidents at the plant on each other.

Last weekend, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Russian forces started a fire at the plant, showing a video of a large plume of smoke coming out of one of the towers on the plant’s territory, but several Russian officials said Ukraine was behind the incident.

The IAEA team reported Saturday that there has been heavy military activity in the area for the last week.

“A significant fire at one of the (Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant) cooling towers earlier this week resulted in considerable damage, although there was no immediate threat to nuclear safety,” the IAEA added.

There were also air raid alarms and drone attacks at the Khmelnytskyy, Rivne and South Ukraine nuclear power plants, as well as at the Chernobyl site, according to the IAEA.

“Nuclear power plants are designed to be resilient against technical or human failures and external events including extreme ones, but they are not built to withstand a direct military attack, and neither are they supposed to, just as with any other energy facility in the world,” Grossi said. “This latest attack highlights the vulnerability of such facilities in conflict zones and the need to continue monitoring the fragile situation.”

Grossi added that he was willing to visit the Zaporizhzhia plant.

Meanwhile, TASS reported that Grossi had also been invited to visit a nuclear power plant in Kursk, the region of southern Russia where Ukrainian forces have launched a growing incursion.

“An invitation to visit the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant and its satellite city of Kurchatov in the nearest future has been relayed to the head of the IAEA. It is an uncommon, but a very timely and important step,” Russian Permanent Representative to international organizations in Vienna Mikhail Ulyanov said on his Telegram channel Saturday.

Andrii Kovalenko, head of the Countering Disinformation Center of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, said on Friday that “Russia may be preparing a nuclear provocation. Their scenario of accusing us of terrorism and an offensive on the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant did not work, and now they are lying about a ‘dirty bomb’ and our possible provocation.”

This post appeared first on cnn.com

A volcano has erupted following a 7.0-magnitude earthquake that struck off Russia’s east coast, spurting a column of ash miles into the air, according to state-run media.

The Shiveluch volcano is around 280 miles from Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, a coastal city with a population of about 180,000 that lies in Russia’s eastern region of Kamchatka.

“According to visual evaluations, the ash column is rising as high as 8 kilometers (5 miles) above the sea level,” TASS reported Sunday morning local time, adding the volcano had released a gush of lava.

There are no reports of people injured, TASS said.

According to the US Geological Survey (USGS), the quake’s epicenter was about 55 miles from Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky and had a depth of about 30 miles.

No “major damage” was caused by the quake, TASS reported, however, “buildings are now being examined for potential damage, with special attention paid to social facilities.”

The Russian Emergencies Ministry did not issue a tsunami warning due to the tremor, TASS reported.

Earlier, the US Tsunami Warning System had warned that “hazardous tsunami waves from this earthquake are possible within 300km [approx 186 miles] of the epicenter along the coasts of Russia.”

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Paetongtarn Shinawatra, a scion of Thailand’s most famed and divisive political dynasty, won the endorsement of the king on Sunday to officially become the country’s new prime minister.

Her appointment follows a series of twists and turns in Thai politics over the past week, during which the Constitutional Court ousted Srettha Thavisin, her predecessor from the same Pheu Thai party.

The country’s youngest ever prime minister at 37 years old, Paetongtarn is the daughter of ousted former leader Thaksin Shinawatra. She becomes Thailand’s second woman prime minister, after her aunt – and Thaksin’s sister – Yingluck Shinawatra.

On Sunday, King Maha Vajiralongkorn’s approval was read to her by the secretary of the House of Representatives at Pheu Thai headquarters in the capital Bangkok.

Paetongtarn got down on her knees and paid homage to a portrait of the king, before giving a short speech thanking him.

“The king has appointed me as the prime minister of Thailand. This is the highest honor and pride in my life,” she said after the endorsement.

“I, my family and the Pheu Thai party greatly appreciate His Majesty’s kindness. I am determined to perform my duties with my loyalty and honesty for the benefit of the nation and the people,” she added.

She is expected to appoint her 35-member cabinet and will lead the ministers in swearing an oath before the king.

Last week, the Constitutional Court ruled Srettha breached ethics rules by appointing to his cabinet a lawyer – and Thaksin aide – who had served prison time.

Srettha’s dismissal was the latest blow to the Thaksin-backed Pheu Thai, which has frequently run afoul of Thailand’s conservative establishment – a small but powerful clique of military, royalist and business elites.

On Friday, the Thai parliament voted Paetongtarn into the role after she was nominated as the sole candidate by Pheu Thai’s ruling coalition to replace Srettha.

She was one of three prime ministerial candidates for the Pheu Thai party ahead of national elections in May, and made international headlines when she gave birth just two weeks before the vote.

Thaksin is one of Thailand’s most influential figures. His economic and populist policies enabled him to build a political machine that has dominated the country for the past two decades despite his ouster in a 2006 coup.

Paetongtarn’s appointment adds another twist to a years-long saga that has shaken up the kingdom’s already turbulent political landscape.

Political parties allied to Thaksin have struggled to hold on to power, having been forced out in the past due to coups or court decisions.

Yingluck was removed from office before the military seized power in a 2014 coup, and Thaksin went into self-imposed exile in 2006 for more than 15 years to escape corruption charges after the military toppled his government.

The telecoms billionaire and former owner of Manchester City Football Club returned to Thailand from exile in August last year.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

An ad campaign targeting fast-food chains and a TikTok-viral appetizer helped Chili’s same-store sales climb nearly 15% in its latest quarter.

But Kevin Hochman, CEO of parent company Brinker International, told CNBC that the chain’s strong performance is just a sign that customers are finally catching onto the chain’s two-year turnaround.

Shares of Brinker have climbed 53% this year, bringing its market value up to $2.99 billion. However, the stock closed 10.7% lower Wednesday after the company disappointed analysts with weaker-than-expected earnings and a conservative outlook for its fiscal 2025.

Shares were up 7% in afternoon trading on Thursday, rebounding from what BMO Capital Markets called an “overreaction” from investors. KeyBanc Capital Markets also upgraded the stock on Thursday, saying that its quarterly results were misunderstood.

Forecast aside, Chili’s made even StreetAccount’s same-store sales estimates of 8.6% growth look cautious. Its 14.8% same-store sales growth puts it in rare company, joining Chipotle and Wingstop as the few public restaurants reporting strong traffic and same-store sales growth at a time when many consumers are pulling back their spending, putting pressure on the industry. Chili’s casual-dining rivals like Applebee’s, owned by Dine Brands, and Bloomin’ Brands’ Outback Steakhouse, reported same-store sales declines for their latest quarters.

“This is just a whole ’nother step change in the business,” Hochman said. “I think sky’s the limit for this brand.”

About 60% of Chili’s growth in its latest quarter came from its $10.99 Big Smasher meal, according to Hochman. The chain promoted the deal by taking aim at fast-food rivals in TV ads.

“We had tapped into this insight that we were seeing in social media months prior, that customers were upset about where fast-food prices were going,” Hochman said. “The advertising clearly touched a nerve on that.”

Another successful menu item for Chili’s this quarter was its Triple Dipper, which lets diners select three appetizers and dips. The item went viral on TikTok in May. Hochman estimates that the Triple Dipper accounted for about 40% of the chain’s sales growth.

But the popularity of both the Triple Dipper and the Big Smasher created new problems for Chili’s. Its restaurants have to be prepared to serve the influx of customers, many of whom were trying Chili’s for the first time or returning after a long time away. Hochman said Chili’s has been investing in labor for the last two years — from hiring bussers to adding more cooks — but those steps pressured its bottom line this quarter.

Chili’s turnaround has touched more than just its workforce, according to Hochman.

Under his leadership, the company has spent the last two years trying to grow sales profitably. Chili’s has culled its menu, shedding about 22% of items.

Brinker has also ended some less profitable strategies to attract customers. Chili’s doesn’t offer as many coupons as it once did, and Brinker pulled the plug on its Maggiano’s Italian Classics virtual brand.

At the same time, Chili’s also leaned into value ahead of the competition, who are now rolling out their own deals. But Hochman is confident that Chili’s can hold onto its lead — and the new customers that TikTok and TV ads have brought.

“We’ve been advertising our value for almost 18 months, and a lot of folks are coming late to the game, and sometimes it’s more aggressive value, and they just don’t have the awareness that we have, because we’ve been at it a while,” he said.

But as Brinker heads into a new fiscal year, holding onto its new customers could prove to be difficult. A plethora of restaurants, from McDonald’s to Outback Steakhouse, have unveiled value meals meant to appeal to diners seeking discounts. And customers could keep cutting back their restaurant visits to save money. Prices for food away from home, which have risen 4.1% over the last 12 months, have stayed relatively sticky.

For Brinker’s fiscal 2025, which kicked off in July, the company is anticipating earnings per share of $4.35 to $4.75 and revenue growth of 3% to 4.6%. Investors were expecting a stronger outlook for growth, given Chili’s recent success. But Brinker is playing it safe in case the economy worsens.

“It’s important for our team to set goals that we think are achievable,” Hochman said.

″[The economy] certainly has taken a turn for the worse in the past three to four months,” he added.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Two months into his presidency, Joe Biden confronted a political crisis: The number of migrants illegally crossing the southern border into the United States was soaring. So he asked Vice President Kamala Harris to lead the administration’s diplomatic efforts to reduce problems at the border.

That assignment included working with three Central American countries — El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras — to improve living conditions and lower the odds that migrants would leave those countries for reasons including poverty, gang violence and corruption.

But Republicans quickly seized on the apparent diplomatic opportunity for Harris, referring to her as the country’s “border czar” responsible for all issues related to the U.S.-Mexico line. Now, more than three years later, her role is a potential political liability as she runs for president as the Democratic nominee and polls show voters broadly disapprove of the Biden administration’s handling of the border.

Harris, in fact, has never been in charge of the border. The Department of Homeland Security manages migration. Her immigration role for the Biden administration has included boosting U.S. aid to Central America, traveling to the region and discouraging potential migrants from making the dangerous journey to the United States.

Migration from the three Central American countries during the Biden administration has fallen 35 percent, from about 683,890 to 447,270 in 2023, lower than it was in 2019 under Trump. But analysts say it is difficult to tie the reduction in numbers to Harris’s efforts, and there have been increases in migration from other countries.

Since launching her presidential campaign, Harris has cast herself as a former prosecutor who took on undocumented gang members, a former border state attorney general in California who prosecuted human traffickers and a would-be president eager to sign into the law the toughest border restrictions in a generation.

Harris told a roaring crowd at a campaign event in Glendale, Ariz., last week that she’d put her record against Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump’s “every day of the week.”

“Donald Trump does not want to fix this problem,” she said. “He talks a big game about border security, but he does not walk the walk.”

Perhaps the most glaring example of the challenges the Biden administration has faced was in December, when nearly 250,000 migrants were apprehended, an all-time high. The numbers went down dramatically this year, largely due to increased enforcement in Mexico, where military patrols and highway checkpoints are intercepting would-be crossers at the U.S. government’s request.

Republicans initially tried to blame Harris for the influx along with Biden, but they intensified their efforts toward her after the president ended his campaign on July 21 amid concerns about his age and Harris declared her candidacy to succeed him.

Biden faced widespread voter disapproval of his handling of the border. A YouGov poll conducted for the Economist this month found that about 60 percent of registered voters disapproved of Biden’s handling of immigration, with 35 percent approving.

The day after Biden dropped out of the race, House Republicans filed a resolution that “strongly condemns the Biden Administration and its Border Czar, Kamala Harris’s, failure to secure the United States border.” A week later, Trump’s campaign released its first advertisement against Harris, assailing her over border security.

“She’s the architect of the border invasion trying to pretend she’s strong on border security,” Trump said at a rally last month in which he repeatedly blamed her for allowing millions of migrants into the country.

Democrats are rebutting GOP attacks more strongly, blaming Trump and his allies for the failure this year of a bipartisan bill that would have invested billions of dollars in border security. After that failed, the Biden administration imposed new asylum restrictions and continued working with Mexico to ramp up enforcement. Apprehensions declined to 56,400 in July, the lowest of any month since September 2020, according to U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

“They’re implementing immigration policy with one hand tied behind their back. Congress has not been helpful at all,” said Kevin Appleby, a senior fellow for policy at the Center for Migration Studies of New York, a think tank. “This is basically the administration doing this all on their own.”

Harris might not deserve personal credit for the drop in border crossings, he said, but she is part of the administration that achieved it. “You can’t blame her for certain administration policies but not give her credit for those that have been successful,” he said.

Biden and Harris had campaigned in 2020 to treat migrants more humanely after years of controversial crackdowns by Trump, whose officials made longtime immigrants targets for deportation and forcibly separated migrant parents and children at the border. The Biden team pledged to pause deportations, process asylum claims and welcome immigrants.

Harris, the daughter of immigrants from Jamaica and India, had a similar platform as a presidential candidate before becoming Biden’s running mate.

She promised to close private immigration detention centers, limit deportations and fight for a path to citizenship for the 11 million undocumented immigrants in the United States.

Those liberal approaches faced swift backlash as migration soared after Biden took office. Analysts say the Biden administration was slow to respond to triggers of mass migration, including pandemic-shredded economies, a robust U.S. job market and the perception that Biden would be more lenient than Trump.

Biden warned before taking office that he did not want 2 million people on the border, and he kept in place a Trump policy that allowed border agents to rapidly expel migrants until May 2023. But Biden also relaxed enforcement, and just as he feared, apprehensions soared to an average of 2 million a year, the highest ever recorded.

Record numbers of unaccompanied children from Central America arrived at the border, some taking dangerous jobs meant for adults. Texas’s Republican governor began busing thousands of migrants from the border to New York, Chicago and other Democrat-led cities, overwhelming their shelters and straining their budgets.

In February 2021, Biden issued an executive order pledging to address the root causes driving migration from northern Central America, which then accounted for about half of border apprehensions. The next month he asked Harris to lead the effort, noting that he had played a similar role as vice president to former president Barack Obama.

Republicans pounced, identifying Harris with rising illegal crossings and calling on the vice president to visit the border.

Harris’s allies recognized the issue as politically fraught, one that could hinder her eventual campaign to succeed Biden. U.S. presidents have struggled for decades to address immigration, with little help from an increasingly polarized Congress. Harris quickly carved out a more limited role, one that focused on the Central American countries and not on the southern border.

In June 2021, Harris made her first and only trip to the border, a 4½-hour visit touring operations in El Paso, hundreds of miles away from the busiest spot on the border. Earlier that month she also visited Mexico and Guatemala, a country Biden went to in 2014.

Like Biden, Harris urged would-be migrants in Guatemala to stay home and warned them that they could be deported.

“Do not come,” she said then. “You will be turned back.”

Her words stunned advocates for immigrants, but some in the Biden administration were increasingly alarmed about the border.

The rising numbers were a sign that Obama-era efforts to address root causes had not taken hold and were not so easy to solve in an election cycle. When Biden visited Guatemala in June 2014, Border Patrol apprehensions that month totaled 57,860. When Harris visited in the same month seven years later, apprehensions were 178,650.

The Trump administration interrupted Obama-era diplomacy to prevent migration, analysts say. Trump slashed aid to Central America, decimated refugee programs and denigrated other countries.

“We were left with a mess,” said Katie Tobin, a former Biden immigration adviser.

Advocates for immigrants said that Trump’s approach did not stop mass migration either. In 2019, attempted border crossings surpassed 850,000. The pandemic interrupted that trend in 2020 by stalling global travel and enabling Trump to expel migrants without a hearing, cutting attempted crossings in half.

It remains unclear if Trump could replicate that strategy, if elected, since the U.S. economy also rebounded more strongly than that of other countries, creating a powerful jobs magnet.

Harris focused mainly on private and public investment in Central America.

Her effort included dispatching coronavirus vaccines there, creating anti-smuggling task forces and investing $4 billion in U.S. aid to the region, but she faced challenges because Central America was riven by gangs and corrupt leaders after years of failed U.S. intervention.

“She didn’t exactly have the easiest partners,” said Roberta Jacobson, former U.S. ambassador to Mexico who served as the top White House official on the border during the early months of Biden’s administration.

Aides say Harris’s most powerful influence was in the private sector, helping to create jobs so that people would stay home.

In May 2021, she issued a “call to action” to tackle the root causes of migration from northern Central America. She met with a dozen CEOs at the White House to encourage investment in the region to create jobs and improve supply chains by moving overseas operations closer to the United States. They began with $750 million in investments, loans, housing and other resources.

Since then, more than 50 companies have gotten involved, and total investment has surpassed $5.2 billion and created more than 70,000 jobs in the region, said Jonathan Fantini-Porter, the CEO of the Partnership for Central America, the nonprofit that oversees the implementation of the effort.

Columbia Sportswear, Nespresso and auto-parts manufacturer Yazaki North America Inc., and others created thousands of manufacturing and farming jobs in the region.

Ariel Ruiz Soto, senior policy analyst at the Migration Policy Institute, said the reasons for the decline in Central America vary by country. Gang crackdowns in El Salvador, a new leader in Honduras, and increased enforcement in Guatemala and Mexico may have played a role.

“There is no direct correlation to say that the root causes strategy has led to this decrease,” Ruiz Soto said. “The reality is there hasn’t been a steady evaluation over time of these executive policies.”

“This would not be a root causes thing. There is no way that in two years it makes a difference,” said Mark Krikorian, executive director of the Center for Immigration Studies, a think tank that supports reduced immigration levels.

More likely is the intense enforcement in Mexico and increased removals from the United States are having an effect, analysts say.

Another challenge for Harris is that northern Central Americans are no longer the biggest group arriving at the border. They accounted for 71 percent of all border crossers in 2019, but so far this year are 23 percent since the number of people from China, Venezuela and other nontraditional nations has increased.

Harris has said that she would continue the Biden administration’s hard line approach to the border if she wins the presidency. She supported the bipartisan border security bill Biden backed this year, which included measures that would have effectively shut down the border if illegal crossings surpassed 5,000 a day. She has pledged to sign the bill as president.

Harris’s campaign leaned into the border messaging with a recent television ad that highlighted her support for the “toughest border control bill in decades” and her history prosecuting drug smugglers.

“As president, she will hire thousands more border agents and crack down on fentanyl and human trafficking,” the narrator said in the ad. “Fixing the border is tough. So is Kamala Harris.”

This post appeared first on washingtonpost.com

The San Francisco district attorney needed support from key unions and different parts of California when she launched her first statewide campaign.

So almost 15 years ago, Kamala Harris connected with another rising star, Laphonza Butler, then the Los Angeles-based leader of the fast-growing home-care workers union. Harris wanted the local union’s backing in her bid for state attorney general.

“First, you need to walk a day in the shoes of one of our members,” Butler, now a Democratic senator from California, recalled instructing the future vice president.

Harris took her up on it. She spent an entire day with a home-care provider in Oakland, working with the elderly and disabled in their homes. She earned the endorsement of the SEIU 2015, and went on to narrowly win the 2010 election. She also forged a long-lasting bond with Butler.

Butler has known the vice president since that first campaign and supported her next two statewide campaigns, including the Senate bid in 2016 that put Harris on the national radar. She also worked as a top policy adviser on Harris’s short-lived presidential primary campaign in 2019.

Now, through a mix of happenstance and insider smarts, Butler, 45, is poised to potentially wield far more clout than Washington expected when she was sworn in last October for an interim appointment to replace the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.).

Butler has impressed colleagues who appreciate her expertise in the labor movement as well as her time running Emily’s List, the political organization charged with electing female candidates who support abortion rights. She has honed what she calls the “skill of influence” in the Senate, learning what makes all 100 tick in a chamber that would be critical to a first-term agenda should Harris win in November.

Other senators, particularly Alex Padilla (D-Calif.) and Patty Murray (D-Wash.), have close ties to Harris, but they are charting long-term careers in the Senate. Not Butler, whose tenure ends whenever California officials declare a winner in the November special election.

Friends see Butler not just as a smart temporary colleague, but possibly as a long-term power broker in a potential Harris administration with the new bonds forged during her brief time in the Senate.

“You know, she’s got executive capacity, as well as legislative skills and extraordinary personal skills. So I can see her playing a very prominent role in a Harris administration. She has enormous goodwill here,” Sen. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) said.

For now, Butler is focused on two jobs: “Senate-ing” (her phrase for her unexpected stint representing 40 million Californians), and helping Harris’s latest campaign.

“I am doing everything that I can to protect the future of this country, by helping Vice President Harris become President Harris,” Butler said in a telephone interview Wednesday.

If that works out, Butler wants to play whatever role the new president would consider.

“I believe in her and her leadership, and if she felt like there was something that I could offer, I of course would have to consider it,” Butler said. “You don’t get asked to do something by the president of the United States very often.”

In a Senate still so antiquated that some newcomers do not deliver speeches their first year in office, many interim senators in recent years have left little to show for their brief tenure.

George Helmy, the new appointee to replace Sen. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), convicted on felony charges last month in a bribery case, is not expected to do much beyond voting the party line in the less than five months he will serve.

Some might have initially seen that role for Butler, but she quickly impressed many senators. Then the June 27 debate took place, sending President Joe Biden into a political free fall within the Democratic Party.

Butler so happened to be on a three-day trip through California with Harris at that time. When she returned to Washington the next week, she delivered the Biden-Harris mantra.

“The future of our democracy is at stake. And we’ve got to get out, do the work, not take a single voter for granted,” Butler told reporters on July 2, never wavering in her support for Biden.

Now, with Harris atop the ticket, Butler’s thoughts matter even more.

When political firestorms arise — like former president Donald Trump’s appearance on July 31 before Black journalists when he questioned whether Harris was truly Black — Butler can channel Harris’s instincts in how to respond.

“Look, this is the only tool he has. He has no vision for the country,” Butler told reporters soon after Trump’s remarks.

She provided the road map for Team Harris: Punch back at Trump’s extreme remarks, then return to pocketbook issues that the swing voters consider most important and highlight the controversial ideas of Project 2025, a far-right agenda promoted by former Trump administration officials.

“We are not going to ignore it,” Butler said then of the incendiary remarks. “But we have to actually get to a place where we’re engaged on the issues that American people care about.”

Butler grew up in Magnolia, a small majority-Black town with a population of just a few thousand, 85 miles south of Mississippi’s state capital, where she attended Jackson State University. After several union-organizing jobs for nurses and janitors in places like Baltimore and Philadelphia, Butler moved to Los Angeles to run the home-care workers union.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) appointed Butler to the Senate in October after Feinstein’s death, following a series of prolonged health battles. In early 2021, Newsom promised to appoint a Black woman to replace Feinstein if she ever could not finish her term, after he had just appointed Padilla, the first Latino senator from California, to replace Harris in the Senate.

By summer 2023, Feinstein had already announced she would retire and there was a full-scale campaign launched among several competitors. Newsom did not want to interrupt that race by choosing sides, leading many to think he would appoint someone who promised to serve briefly and not run a full term.

That angered some Black activists who felt it was patronizing to appoint a Black woman to serve in the job only temporarily.

When he chose Butler, Newsom won plaudits from liberal activists across California and he also gave her carte blanche to run for the seat if she wanted it.

Despite the head start that the eventual Democratic nominee, Rep. Adam Schiff, and others had, Butler analyzed the race as if she were a hardheaded political strategist again.

“Could I raise the money? Could I get the endorsements? Would I actually be able to take some endorsements from folks who were already in the race? And the answer to those questions was, yes, and absolutely,” she said.

And she talked to Harris. “Never did she tell me what to do. She doesn’t — she’s not that kind of a mentor and a friend. She is the kind of friend who talks through all of the different aspects and opportunities, the challenges, the sacrifices, the pluses and minuses,” Butler said.

Instead, with a young daughter who would be 16 at the end of a full six-year term, she and her wife decided it wasn’t the right time for elective politics.

And now, after one crazy month of July, she gets to focus again on helping Harris in the campaign of her life.

Butler has been impressed with Harris’s ability to take the already existing Biden-Harris campaign and scale it up to include several prominent veterans of previously successful presidential campaigns, something that was lacking in Harris’s bid five years ago.

“While you have people who are strategists and/or other kinds of experts, the experience of running a presidential campaign is invaluable,” she said.

Still more of an executive than a legislator, Butler has relished having a front-row seat for major legislative battles, including the border crisis and funding Ukraine’s defenses. She became a fully engaged senator without having to grind through raising tens of millions of dollars to try to win an election.

Welch, 77, reached the Senate nine months before Butler did, and only after a lengthy career that started in state politics in 1981. Despite three decades in age difference, they find themselves in a similarly junior status and often remain studiously quiet during caucus lunches.

They then find ways to buttonhole key senators to try to privately influence debates, Welch said. “She combines the capacity to be very direct and clear with an open and welcoming demeanor. She’s gifted.”

Any question about the next job, however, prompts Butler to focus on the more important job directly in front of her.

“I am resolute, in my demonstration of my commitment to the future where my daughter can believe that she can one day be president,” she said. “And I think this is our opportunity to do that.”

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One month ago, Democrats watched with envy and dismay as Republicans demonstrated their energy and unity with a lively party convention that showcased Donald Trump’s dominant position in the race against President Joe Biden.

Now, after one of the most momentous shifts in political atmospherics in modern history, Democrats have been buoyed by a new standard-bearer and sense of optimism as they prepare to begin their own nominating convention Monday in Chicago.

Biden will speak on the first day of the convention before leaving town, a symbolic changing of the guard that highlights how his decision to abruptly end his reelection bid upended the race.

Vice President Kamala Harris, who has ridden a wave of enthusiasm in a party that had been riven by angst over Biden’s weak poll numbers, will cap the programming Thursday with a speech designed to introduce herself to the nation and highlight the historic nature of her unexpected candidacy. The unprecedented turn of events has added to the sense of unpredictability that has marked an election already rocked by a history-changing debate, one candidate’s felony convictions and an assassination attempt during a political rally.

“It is remarkable,” said Julian Zelizer, a presidential historian at Princeton University. “An incredibly important election, which made the Democratic convention interesting from the start, is now truly distinct. The entire ticket has changed, the energy is different, and what the party is putting forth as the faces of the party has transformed the terms of the competition.”

While much about the convention has changed in recent weeks, the party gathering will no doubt feature a steady dose of criticism of Republican nominee Trump, who has seen his campaign upended since he rose from the ground and shouted “fight, fight, fight!” after surviving an assassination attempt last month. In recent days, he has been flailing in public as polls show him ceding his advantage in the race to Harris.

Democrats hope to use the four-day convention to build on their momentum, balancing their attacks on Trump with a push to boost Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D), in the minds of millions of voters who remain undecided.

But even as Democrats plan to celebrate their sense of unity around Harris’s ascension, the area outside the convention hall will showcase some persistent divisions.

Protesters have promised to bring tens of thousands of people to Chicago to denounce the war in Gaza and the Biden administration’s support for Israel — plans that began while Biden was still running and have continued even as Harris has tried to offer a more empathetic tone about the plight of Palestinians.

Harris’s aides plan to use the convention both to introduce her to the public and to draw a contrast with Trump, said Michael Tyler, communications director for the campaign.

The event will feature top Democratic leaders, including former presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, and former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, the party’s 2016 nominee. Several major celebrities are expected to attend, a sign that Harris may be able to create the kind of cultural movement that eluded Biden.

And even as party leaders plan to celebrate their improved political standing under Harris, officials hope to deliver the message that the contest against Trump remains close.

“You look at the state of polling, and obviously, things look good right now, but this remains a margin-of-error race,” Tyler said. “And we know that it’s going to come down to tens of thousands of votes in a handful of states.”

The made-for-television convention stands as the highest-profile moment thus far in Harris’s truncated campaign for the presidency. In a typical presidential race, a candidate’s most significant moments include the day they launch their campaign, the day they secure the nomination and the day they announce a running mate.

Usually, those moments are spread out over many months. For Harris, they all happened within three weeks.

Trump remarked on the rapidly changed race during a news conference Thursday, criticizing Harris while noting how much her fortunes have improved.

“Six weeks ago, she was considered to be a failed vice president in a failed administration — a disaster,” Trump told reporters. “Now, all these people are talking about her like she’s Margaret Thatcher, liberal version.”

At times, Trump has struggled to focus on policy criticisms of Harris, instead attacking her race, gender or intelligence. His campaign has sought to press his advantage on the economy in recent days, staging events ostensibly designed to criticize Harris over inflation and economic instability.

The former president plans to continue that approach during a speech on the economy Monday in York, Pa., offering some counterprogramming as the Democrats’ convention kicks off.

“Kamala Harris says inflation will be a ‘Day One’ priority, but her ‘Day One’ was three and a half years ago,” Trump’s campaign said in a statement announcing his speech. “The Harris-Biden Administration created inflation, putting Kamala in charge won’t do anything different to fix it.”

The Trump campaign’s focus on inflation comes at an awkward time: The headline inflation number dropped to its lowest level in three years last month, and unemployment has remained relatively low for most of Biden’s term, facts Democrats have been highlighting ahead of their convention.

In recent days, Harris has begun outlining some of her policy proposals, including a $25,000 subsidy for first-time home buyers, a ban on price gouging on groceries and a child tax credit that would provide $6,000 per child in the first year of a baby’s life. The convention — where parties traditionally lay out their platform — will offer a high-profile opportunity for her to explain how her presidency would differ from Biden’s and what she hopes to accomplish if elected. Before her acceptance speech on Thursday, Harris is planning to launch a bus tour in Pennsylvania on Sunday and hold a rally in Milwaukee on Tuesday.

In Chicago, Harris will face the delicate task of celebrating Biden’s accomplishments while trying to distance herself from the low marks he has received from voters on inflation, immigration and other top issues.

Republicans have sought to tie Harris to Biden and paint her as an even more liberal candidate, often pointing to the positions she embraced during her unsuccessful presidential campaign five years ago. Harris has since disavowed many of those positions, including support for Medicare-for-all, a ban on fracking and mandatory buybacks for assault rifles.

Speaking in North Carolina on Friday, Harris tried to lay out her own vision for improving the economy, proposing programs to eliminate medical debt and cap prices for prescription drugs.

“We know that many Americans don’t yet feel that progress in their daily lives,” she said, after touting the economic gains made since Biden took office. “Costs are still too high and on a deeper level for too many people, no matter how much they work, it feels so hard to just be able to get ahead.”

That sentiment — which formed the theme of much of the Republican convention last month — was one reason polls showed Biden trailing Trump for much of the past year. Biden’s stumbling debate performance on June 27 — an unusually early date that was intended to help improve his standing against Trump — reignited Democratic fears that the president was on track to lose the race. Post-debate polls showing Biden falling further behind Trump both nationally and in swing states led top Democrats to urge the president to step aside.

Biden’s decision to drop out of the race and endorse Harris has created the first major shift in the race toward Democrats, with polls showing the vice president now leading Trump nationally and in several swing states.

Biden’s exit from the race also changed the nature of the convention Democrats were planning. Aides have spent the past few weeks creating programming and advertising around the biography and vision of Harris, replacing what was once designed as a celebration of Biden’s journey from Scranton, Pa., to the White House.

But Democratic attacks on Trump are unlikely to change much.

“The fact of the matter here is that our opponent remains the same in Donald Trump,” Tyler said. “The threat remains the same in Donald Trump. The extremism that he wants to enact on the American people remains the same.”

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