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The Alternative for Germany (AfD) has become the first far-right party to win a state election in Germany since the Nazi era, dealing a crushing blow to Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s government with only a year to go before the next federal election.

After voting closed on Sunday, the AfD was projected to become the strongest party in the eastern state of Thuringia, with 32.8% of the vote, and to come a close second in Saxony, with 30.6% of the vote.

In another worrying development for Germany’s mainstream, the fledgling Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) – a far-left party that has questioned the country’s support for Ukraine and shares some of the AfD’s anti-immigration streak – came third in both states, despite only being founded earlier this year.

Although extremism has long been concentrated in Germany’s east, the results will be a concern for Scholz’s center-left SPD coalition, which slumped to a dismal fifth in both states. If federal elections were held now, recent polls show the AfD could become the second-largest group in the Bundestag, with the SDP trailing in third.

Scholz described the results as “bitter” and, calling on the European principle of the “cordon sanitaire,” urged mainstream parties in Thuringia and Saxony to exclude the AfD from any state governing coalitions.

“All democratic parties are now called upon to form stable governments without right-wing extremists,” Scholz said in a statement. “Our country cannot and must not get used to this. The AfD is damaging Germany. It is weakening the economy, dividing society and ruining our country’s reputation.”

Alice Weidel, co-leader of the AfD, told German public broadcaster ARD that the results were a “requiem” for Scholz’s coalition and questioned “whether it can continue to govern at all.”

The AfD’s solution? “The immediate expulsion of all illegal immigrants from our country. All criminals, all extremists must leave,” she said.

If other parties heed Scholz’s call to shun the AfD, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) – the mainstream center-right party projected to come first in Saxony and second in Thuringia – would be well-placed to benefit. However, in a sign of the rightward shift of Germany’s politics, the CDU has recently taken a far harsher line on immigration than under its former leader Angela Merkel.

Fertile ground in the east

Founded in 2013, initially in opposition to the euro and the German-backed bailout of southern European countries during the eurozone crisis, the AfD has since coupled its rhetoric of economic grievance with a staunch opposition to immigration.

The issue of immigration became more salient – and the AfD more popular – after then-Chancellor Merkel allowed into the country more than 1 million refugees in 2015, mostly those fleeing civil war in Syria.

While the decision won her praise from Europe’s more liberal mainstream, it has provided a rallying cry for extremist parties in Germany’s formerly communist east, where economic growth is more anemic and opportunities more scarce than in the richer west.

Just days before the state elections, a Syrian man stabbed three people to death and wounded several others at a festival in the western Germany city of Solingen. Weidel pinned the blame solely on Germany’s migration policy: “Instead of racking our brains over the various models of knife bans, we must finally tackle the problem at its roots. Migration change immediately.”

The message is also winning the support of some young Germans. The movement has even acquired its own anthem, after a video filmed on the German vacation island of Sylt showed well-dressed youths chanting “Ausländer Raus” (“foreigners out”) and “Deutschland den Deutschen” (“Germany for Germans”) over a 1999 Eurodance beat. The chant swirled across the country as it hosted the European soccer championships earlier this summer.

Both Lichtenfeld and Flurschutz have joined the Young Alternative (JA), the youth wing of the AfD which has been designated by German authorities as a “confirmed extremist” organization. The main AfD has been designated as “suspected extremist.”

The party’s lead candidate in Thuringia, Björn Höcke, was convicted earlier this year after breaking German laws against uttering Nazi slogans in public.

While the AfD’s growing popularity is for many reminiscent of the country’s darkest political era, Höcke has campaigned on a platform of national pride untainted by historical guilt, under the banner of “Heimat” (“homeland”).

“Yes to freedom, yes to the community, yes to the youth, yes to the future, yes to our Heimat, Thuringia and Germany,” he said at the campaign in Erfurt.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

A man accused of killing his girlfriend in Boston and fleeing to Kenya has been extradited back to the United States — the latest twist in an international case that saw his arrest at a Nairobi nightclub and his escape from jail.

Kevin Kangethe, 42, is accused of killing nurse Margaret “Maggie” Mbitu, whose body was found in a parked car last November at Boston’s Logan International Airport, two days after she was reported missing. Authorities say he then immediately boarded a flight and fled the country.

For months, the suspect eluded authorities after he arrived in Kenya. In January, investigators spotted Kangethe at a nightclub in Nairobi and arrested him. He escaped from jail days later and was on the run for a week before he was rearrested in Nairobi in early February.

Kenya has an extradition treaty with the United States.

Kangethe’s extradition Sunday returns him to the jurisdiction of his alleged crime, some 7,000 miles away. He is expected to face a murder charge at Suffolk Superior Court on Tuesday, said Renson Ingonga, Kenya’s director of public prosecutions.

“I wish to reiterate my commitment and support, whenever needed, to the United States of America, and in particular the prosecution team as they proceed with the next phase of the case,” Ingonga said in a statement Monday.

He boarded a flight the day before her body was found

Mbitu, 31, lived in Whitman, a Boston suburb, and was the youngest in a family of health care workers. Her two older sisters and her mother are all nurses.

She was reported missing in late October after she didn’t show up for work, which was uncommon for her.

Her family notified the police and called nearby hospitals to check if she was a patient. Investigators believed her boyfriend was a suspect, according to a criminal complaint from the state police.

With the help of surveillance cameras, police tracked his Toyota SUV to the airport and found it in a parking garage. Inside they found Mbitu’s bloodied body with slash wounds on her face and neck, Massachusetts State Police said in an affidavit.

The day before her body was found, Kangethe boarded flights from Boston to Kenya. Surveillance footage showed him leaving the parking garage and entering an airport terminal, police said.

Investigators learned he had bought a plane ticket the previous morning, state police said.

The fugitive was arrested in a Nairobi nightclub but escaped from jail a week later

Kangethe has been arrested twice with the help of tipsters.

After he arrived in Kenya, he eluded authorities for three months. Then in late January, someone alerted police that a man at a nightclub in Nairobi resembled images of the suspect they’d seen on social media, Kenyan authorities said.

A week later, a man claiming to be his lawyer appeared at the police station where he was being held and asked to speak with him. Officers released the suspect from his cell and left them alone in an office. The suspected escaped on foot and evaded authorities for days, police said.

He was re-arrested a week later at a relative’s house in a suburb of Nairobi after another tip-off, Kenyan police said.

Kevin Hayden, District Attorney of Suffolk County in suburban Boston, thanked the US State Department, the FBI, the state police, the Kenyan government and Kenyan law enforcement agencies for facilitating the arrest.

“Their tremendous and untiring efforts will provide Margaret’s family and friends the opportunity to see Kevin Kangethe face justice for this terrible crime,” Hayden said in a statement in February.

Investigators have not revealed a motive in the killing.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Venezuelan authorities have issued an arrest warrant for the former presidential candidate Edmundo Gonzalez, amid a crackdown on the country’s opposition movement following July’s disputed election.

The Venezuela Prosecutor’s Office requested the warrant Monday, accusing Gonzalez of “crimes associated with terrorism.” Gonzalez has failed to respond to three summons regarding its investigation into an opposition website that posted results from the contested vote, it said.

Maduro claims to have won the July 28 vote, but the official results have attracted widespread skepticism from abroad and the opposition has insisted that it won. Shortly after the vote, the opposition published tally sheets on a website indicating their candidate – Gonzalez – had won by a landslide.

In a letter posted on X on Monday, the Prosecutor’s Office said Gonzalez is suspected of “crimes associated with terrorism” including “usurpation of functions, forging a public document, instigation to disobedience of the laws (and) association to commit a crime and conspiracy.”

Gonzalez has denied the accusations against him. The Prosecutor’s Office has previously said it is also investigating opposition leader Maria Corina Machado for the same alleged crimes.

Machado said Monday that the threat of arrest would only help to unite the opposition.

“(The government) have lost all notion of reality. By threatening the president-elect they only manage to unite us more and increase the support of Venezuelans and the world for Edmundo González.”

“Serenity, courage and firmness. We move forward,” she added.

Venezuela’s electoral body, long stacked with regime allies, declared the strongman leader Maduro the winner of the election, but has yet to provide tallies proving his win.

Venezuela’s opposition and several other nations have refused to recognize Maduro’s victory until the release of the full vote tally.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

He is 87 years old and in recent years has battled health difficulties and begun using a wheelchair. But Pope Francis is currently on the longest trip of his pontificate.

On Tuesday, he landed in Indonesia kicking off a marathon 12-day visit of four countries in Southeast Asia and the South Pacific which also includes Papua New Guinea, East Timor and Singapore.

It is one of the longest foreign trips any pope has embarked on and marks the furthest geographical distance (32,814 kilometers or about 20,000 miles ) that Francis has traveled since his 2013 election. And on arrival in Jakarta, Pope Francis commented that the more than 13 hour flight over was the longest he has yet done.

The landmark visit will allow this pope to highlight key themes of his pontificate, including inter-religious dialogue and protection of the environment.

The trip also underscores a significant shift taking place inside the Catholic Church: its tilt to Asia.

During his pontificate, Francis’ 44 previous foreign visits have included South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Thailand, Myanmar and Bangladesh. He has also appointed cardinals from the Philippines (Luis Antonio Tagle) and South Korea (Lazarus You Heung-sik) to senior positions in the church’s central administration.

The Catholic Church is no longer a Eurocentric or western institution but one where churches in Asia, Africa and Latin America have a growing voice. Francis, who as a young man wanted to be a missionary in Japan, has spoken favorably about male and female church leaders coming from countries outside of Europe.

Catholics in Asia are often in the minority, although they frequently punch above their weight when it comes to running schools and charitable works.

“The pope is interested not so much in the number of Catholics as the vibrancy,”said Spadaro, who will be travelling with Francis. In many Asian countries, the Jesuit priest explained, the church seeks to act as a “leaven”in trying to serve the “common good,” while Asia “represents the future at this time in the world”.

Interfaith declaration

Often a minority, the churches in Asia are focused on dialogue with other religions, something that will be a central theme of the trip.

While in Indonesia, the world’s most populous Muslim majority country, the pope will take part in a meeting with religious leaders at the Istiqlal Mosque in Jakarta, the largest in Southeast Asia. Afterwards, Francis will sign an interfaith declaration with the grand imam of Indonesia and is also expected to visit an underpass linking the mosque and the Catholic cathedral next door known as the “tunnel of friendship.”

“The pulse of the churches here is quite different from say, those in Europe or US where issues like polarization, secularization and abuse have dominated the headlines,” she added.

Spadaro said the “pope wants to give a signal about dialogue with Islam,” and points out that in East Timor, the government has adopted a landmark human fraternity document — signed by Francis and the Grand Imam of Al-Azhar, Sheikh Ahmed al-Tayeb – as a national text.

East Timor is unusual for Asia as 97% the population identifies as Catholic, the highest proportion outside of the Vatican City State.

Michel Chambon, who works at the National University of Singapore and is an expert on Asian Catholicism, said the pope’s visit will help build relations and mutual understanding with these countries.

“The key thing is that the Vatican is not a European state, it is much more than that,” he said.

A giant in the background

Meanwhile, the Vatican’s relationship with China, an officially atheist state where religious practice is heavily curtailed by the government, will be in the background to this visit with Francis pushing ahead with trying to rebuild diplomatic relations with Beijing.

Catholicism is one of five state-recognized faiths in China. But, state-sanctioned Catholic churches were, for decades, run by bishops appointed by Beijing, not the Holy See, until the two sides reached an agreement in 2018. Details of the accord have never been made public and many within China’s underground congregations who have remained loyal to Rome and long faced persecution fear being abandoned.

Although the Holy See-China agreement has faced criticism, the Vatican says the deal is already paying off and hopes to open a permanent office in China. The pope has repeatedly said he would like to visit the country.

Supporters of the patient diplomacy strategy point to the Holy See’s improved relationship with another Communist-governed country: Vietnam. After years of talks, the pope was able to appoint the first resident ambassador in Hanoi at the end of last year.

Francis’ trip will also see him in a part of the world at risk of rising sea levels and natural disasters, with Papua New Guinea a country on the front line of the climate crisis. During his pontificate, the pope has insisted that the protection of the planet is a pressing moral issue, and his trip to the pacific is a chance once again to urge world leaders to take stronger action.

Making this lengthy trip now, after more than 11 years as pope, sends a message to those, including at senior levels in the church, hoping that this pontificate is running out of steam. Spadaro says it underlines the “liveliness of the pontificate at this moment.”

Francis will travel, as normal, with a doctor and two nurses. There are risks with making such a long and gruelling visit at his age. But this is a pope willing to take risks and pull off surprises. And he is determined to make one of the most ambitious trips of his pontificate.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Two people have been rescued after a terrifying night at sea as six-meter (20-foot) waves tossed their stricken yacht nearly 200 miles (322 kilometers) off Australia’s eastern coast as they drifted at speed towards New Zealand.

Authorities were first alerted to the crew’s crisis around 1pm on Monday, when they deployed a distress beacon, but it was hours before the first rescue helicopters located the vessel.

The 20-meter yacht, the Spirit of Mateship, had lost power and communications and was being hit by winds of up to 90 kilometers an hour (56 mph) as well as waves up to six meters high.

“(The helicopter’s crew) were able to fly above the yacht, and they could communicate via radio to the yacht, but they were unable to pick them up,” said Ben Flight, duty manager at the Australian Maritime Safety Authority Response Center.

Another rescue attempt was later abandoned due to rough seas, forcing the two people – a man, 60, and woman, 48 – to spend what Flight described as a “horrible” night at sea.

“They weren’t injured, but the vessel had suffered a mechanical issue of some kind, and they couldn’t steer, and they couldn’t make their own way through the water, so they were drifting, and they were taking on water as well. So, they were in quite a serious situation,” said Flight.

“They were sort of just at the mercy of the elements. They would have been moving around quite uncomfortably. It would have been particularly windy, noisy, probably quite wet as well.”

Two Australian Navy ships – HMAS Arunta and HMAS Canberra – answered calls for help, as well as Royal Australian Air Force C-130J Hercules aircraft, according to the Australian Defence Force (ADF).

The ships, along with a nearby merchant vessel, monitored the yacht’s location overnight, and the rescue resumed in the early hours of the morning, when conditions had eased.

NSW Police vessel Nemesis arrived at the yacht about 3 a.m. Tuesday and deployed a smaller boat to rescue the sailors around 7:30 a.m. in choppy seas with swells of four meters to five meters.

“I don’t imagine they would have got any rest overnight, so I imagine they’d be quite tired and very relieved to be rescued,” Flight said.

Flight said the outcome would have been much worse if the crew hadn’t deployed the distress beacon, which issues a satellite alert to advise the rescue coordination center of their location.

The Spirit of Mateship has competed in the prestigious Sydney to Hobart yacht race several times, crewed by wounded veterans and army personnel.

Together they raised money to support army veterans. However, the yacht has changed hands since then, according to Flight.

The rescued sailors are expected to arrive back in Sydney Tuesday night after a 12-hour voyage.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Even as mortgage interest rates were rising, home prices reached the highest level ever on the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.

On a three-month running average ended in June, prices nationally were 5.4% higher than they were in June 2023, according to data released Tuesday. Despite being a record high for the index, the annual gain was smaller than May’s 5.9% reading.

The index’s 10-city composite rose 7.4% annually, down from 7.8% in the previous month. The 20-city composite was 6.5% higher year over year, down from a 6.9% increase in May.

“While both housing and inflation have slowed, the gap between the two is larger than historical norms, with our National Index averaging 2.8% more than the Consumer Price Index,” noted Brian Luke, head of commodities, real and digital assets at S&P Dow Jones Indices, in a release. “That is a full percentage point above the 50-year average. Before accounting for inflation, home prices have risen over 1,100% since 1974, but have slightly more than doubled (111%) after accounting for inflation.”

New York saw the highest annual gain among the 20 cities, with prices climbing 9% in June, followed by San Diego and Las Vegas with annual increases of 8.7% and 8.5%, respectively. Portland, Oregon, saw just a 0.8% annual rise in June, the smallest gain of the top cities.

Since housing affordability has been a major talking point in this election cycle, this month’s report also broke out home values by price tier, dividing each city’s market into three tiers. Looking just at large markets over the past five years, it found that 75% of the markets covered show low-price tiers rising faster than the overall market.

“For example, the lower tier of the Atlanta market has risen 18% faster than the middle- and higher-tiered homes,” Luke wrote in the release.

“New York’s low tier has the largest five-year outperformance, rising nearly 20% above the overall New York region,” he continued. “New York also has the largest divergence between low- and high-tier prices. Conversely, San Diego has seen the largest appreciation in higher-tier homes over the past five years.”

Prices in the overall San Diego market are up 72% in the past five years, but the high tier is up 79% versus 63% for the lower tier.

The increase in prices came even as mortgage rates rose sharply from April through June, which is the period averaged on the index. Usually when rates rise, prices cool.

The average rate on the 30-year fixed started April just below 7% and then shot up to 7.5% by the end of the month, according to Mortgage News Daily. Rates stayed over 7% before falling back under that level in July. The 30-year fixed is now right around 6.5%.

“Mortgage rates have fallen since June, but there is evidence that even the decline in rates has not been enough to bring buyers back into the market,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS. “Some buyers are waiting for home prices — and not just interest rates — to come down,”

While home prices should ease month to month going into the fall, due to seasonal factors and more inventory on the market, they are unlikely to drop significantly, and are expected to still be higher than they were last fall.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Airlines that spent years clamoring for new jets are changing their tune.

Cash-strapped, low-cost and deep discounter airlines are putting off spending billions of dollars on new aircraft to save money as they try to return to steady profitability and face the impact of engine repairs.

Airlines flooded the U.S. with flights this year, driving down fares particularly in the domestic market, where low-cost carriers concentrate, and weighing on carriers’ revenue while costs have gone up. Spirit Airlines, JetBlue Airways and Frontier Airlines last posted annual profits in 2019, while larger carriers have returned to profitability.

Lower prices on plane tickets are noticeable: Fare-tracker Hopper estimates “good deal” airfare in September is going for $240 for roundtrip U.S. domestic flights, down 8% from last year.

Now, some of those same airlines are dialing back their growth plans and deferring deliveries of new aircraft. The bulk of the price of an airplane is paid upon delivery.

“You have too much supply, so it’s natural for us as an industry to reduce the supply,” Frontier CEO Barry Biffle said. Frontier earlier this month said it is is deferring 54 Airbus aircraft to at least 2029.

Part of the problem is that years of aircraft delivery delays mean carriers don’t want to add too many planes too quickly, Biffle said.

“Because they delayed a bunch, [the order] got piled up,” he said. “So we had to smooth that out”

Frontier’s revenue rose 1% from last year in the second quarter despite carrying 17% more passengers, with average fare revenue falling 16% to just shy of $40.

JetBlue Airways is estimating it will save about $3 billion by deferring 44 Airbus A321 airplanes through 2029, opting to extend some aircraft leases. The New York carrier posted a surprise profit in the second quarter but is scrambling to reduce its costs through the deferrals and steps like exiting unprofitable routes — and it wants to do that quickly.

The airline and others are also grappling with grounded jets from a Pratt & Whitney engine recall.

Deferring so many aircraft even while the carrier is short on planes because of the engine recall is a “double-edged sword,” JetBlue CEO Joanna Geraghty said in a note to employees on Aug. 19.

“We need planes to grow, but taking delivery of aircraft that end up sitting on the ground after we’ve paid for them significantly worsens the problem,” she said. “In addition, given our growing debt, we just can’t afford to buy so many planes.”

Spirit Airlines — which had planned to get acquired by JetBlue until a judge blocked the deal in January — has also deferred aircraft as it fights to turn the company’s deep losses around.

Spirit earlier this month reported an 11% drop in revenue and a $192 million loss, compared with a roughly $2 million loss a year earlier, and said it would furlough some 240 pilots in the coming weeks. The airline has been especially hard hit by the Pratt & Whitney engine recall.

The airline said it was deferring all the Airbus planes it has on order from the second quarter of next year through the end of 2026 until at least 2030.

Aircraft leasing firm AerCap said earlier this month that it will assume 36 of Spirit’s Airbus A320neo family aircraft from the carrier’s order book. CEO Gus Kelly called it a “win-win” transaction for the airline and AerCap.

Even with the moves from low-cost carriers, most of the global airline industry is still in a scarcity mindset, with new fuel-efficient planes in short supply.

Lease rates for new Airbus A320s and the larger A321s hit fresh average records in July of $385,000 a month, and $430,000 a month, respectively, according to Eddy Pieniazek, head of advisory at aviation consulting firm Ishka. Meanwhile, leases for new Boeing 737 Max 8 aircraft, the most common model, are near a record at $375,000 a month, Pieniazek said.

Airlines can buy aircraft directly from suppliers or lease them from companies like Air Lease or AerCap, paying monthly rent. Some airlines, like Frontier, have been active in sale-leasebacks, in which they sell planes to generate cash and lease them back.

Boeing and Airbus, the world’s two main suppliers of commercial aircraft, are struggling to increase output as a post-Covid hangover lingers in the form of skilled worker shortages and supply shortfalls. Airbus recently cut its delivery target for the year, while Boeing is limited from ramping up output as it tries to work through a safety crisis.

Despite the deferrals from budget airlines, an Airbus spokeswoman said the company isn’t seeing any slowdown in demand for airplanes in the A320 family, for which it has more than 7,000 unfilled orders. Boeing has nearly 4,200 orders for its competing 737 Max planes.

“We offer a full range of aircraft to meet our customers’ needs and maximize their flexibility with fleet decisions,” the Airbus spokeswoman said in a statement.

But airlines are feeling the strain. Executives have said delayed deliveries of new planes have forced them to slow, if not halt, hiring and other growth plans.

“We are urgently and deliberately pursuing opportunities to mitigate cost pressures, including the drag from overstaffing related to previously reported Boeing delivery delays,” Southwest Airlines CFO Tammy Romo said on an earnings call last month. The all-Boeing 737 airline has offered some staff voluntary leave programs.

When asked about Southwest’s fleet plans, Romo said the airline has “a lot of flexibility with our order book from Boeing. Boeing didn’t comment for this article.

“We’re not ready yet to lay out all of our plans,” Romo said, adding that the company would provide more details at a Sept. 26 investor day. “But we have ample flexibility to reflow the order book to ultimately meet our needs.”

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Donald Trump’s team is approaching the final nine weeks of the presidential campaign as a race to drag Kamala Harris down.

Americans’ views of the Republican nominee have barely budged over the past nine years, spanning three White House bids, two impeachments, an insurrection, four indictments and an assassination attempt. He remains deeply divisive, with enthusiastic support and intense opposition.

President Joe Biden was also broadly unpopular, but now Trump faces Harris, whose favorability rating is roughly even. An ABC News/Ipsos poll released on Sunday found that 46 percent of likely voters viewed Harris favorably versus 43 percent unfavorably, while Trump’s ratings were 33 percent to 58 percent.

With little chance of improving Trump’s standing, Trump’s advisers see the only option as damaging hers.

“What matters is their ability to prosecute a case to the point where she feels like she needs to answer questions and that she’s on defense,” said Josh Holmes, a prominent GOP consultant. “I think it’s a serious paper tiger we’re dealing with here. I don’t think for 60 days they can keep the train on the tracks.”

Republicans have already started pummeling Harris with attack ads. The bulk of television spending by the campaigns and their allied super PACs between Aug. 23 and Aug. 29 — 57 percent — were attacks on Harris, according to data from the media-tracking company AdImpact. Twenty-one percent were pro-Harris ads that drew a contrast with Trump, and another 14 percent were purely positive about Harris, the data showed. Only 8 percent were anti-Trump attack ads.

“This is a moment in the message arc of us seeking to define her, she’s seeking to define herself,” a Trump adviser said. “We have a defined candidate — everyone knows everything about the person. There’s lots of new information about Kamala Harris that people just don’t know.”

As another adviser told reporters last month: “If you think this race is going to be decided on likability, you’re making a grave error because neither one of them is going to be liked at the end of this race.” Like others, the advisers spoke on the condition of anonymity to more candidly discuss strategy.

Democrats see the more hardwired views of Trump as an opportunity for Harris to define herself by contrast. While the Trump campaign emphasizes the issues of immigration, crime and inflation, Harris’s campaign manager, Jen O’Malley Dillon, said Harris has room to expand her support on the issues of democracy, abortion, health care and gun violence. In a memo dated Sunday, she pointed to public polling that showed Harris within the margin of error on crime and the economy — issues on which voters have historically favored Republicans.

“Make no mistake: we head into the final stretch of this race as the clear underdogs,” O’Malley Dillon wrote in the memo. “This race will remain incredibly close, and the voters who will decide this election will require an extraordinary amount of work to win over.”

Harris has largely avoided engaging with Trump over his most personal attacks, including his baseless questioning of her racial identity as the daughter of a Black father and an Indian American mother. In her first interview Thursday as the Democratic nominee with CNN’s Dana Bash, Harris addressed the question by saying, “Same old tired playbook. Next question, please.”

“I thought she handled it brilliantly in that interview,” said David Axelrod, a Democratic political strategist. “Getting sidetracked on that discussion is unprofitable for her. … She’s not made herself a kind of symbol, she’s not made herself a historic candidate. She’s simply running as someone who has the experience and the values to move the country forward and to deal with the problems that people are most concerned about, and I think that’s a wise strategy.”

The vice president and her allies have taken on Trump on other fronts. She used her Democratic National Convention speech to call for moving “past the bitterness, cynicism, and divisive battles of the past.” Her campaign and its surrogates have also waged an effort to tie Trump to “Project 2025,” a right-wing policy agenda from his allies and administration alumni that the former president has tried to distance himself from in recent months. The campaign is training volunteers to criticize Project 2025 to echo paid advertising.

The tension within Trump’s campaign centers on how to make the case against Harris. Many allies and advisers want him to focus on policy positions, concerned that personal insults could backfire. But Trump wants to do things his way. Trump recently polled a rally crowd over whether to focus on personal or policy attacks — and when the crowd favored the former, joked that his professional advisers were worthless or fired.

Trump often relies on his own instincts — particularly at times when he feels things aren’t going his way. Many Republicans fear the feuds and controversies he instigates — recent examples include attacking Georgia’s Republican governor during a rally in the state, clashing with Arlington National Cemetery over a visit that produced a campaign video contrary to federal law, amplifying a joke about Harris performing a sex act, sparring with megadonor Miriam Adelson over staffing of a super PAC and defending his supporters who attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 — can damage him more than any Harris attack.

He gave mixed messages on abortion in recent days, first signaling he was opposed to a Florida amendment that would strictly curb the procedure after six weeks, then reversing his answer the next day.

“Being off message, that’s everything. A few bad days wipe out a lot of gains,” Scott Reed, a veteran Republican strategist, said. “But he still needs to be interesting, exciting and volcanic and go to crazy town once in a while because that’s what keeps his supporters excited and motivated. He can’t go cold turkey and start reading boring speeches.”

The cemetery controversy continued into the weekend as Harris weighed in with a post on X on Saturday that criticized his Aug. 26 filming at Arlington as “a political stunt” that “disrespected sacred ground.” Trump responded with a searing statement from family members of some service members killed in a 2021 bombing in Afghanistan saying Harris was the one politicizing Trump’s visit.

Many on Trump’s team are now tired of arguing with him and inclined to let him campaign his way. In August, he brought back his 2016 campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, despite past allegations of unwanted sexual advances. Lewandowski has been interviewing staffers about whether they are getting what they need and how they think the campaign is going, according to people who have talked with him. Campaign spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt called the staff “a world-class team.”

“Our focus every day is on ensuring the American people know Kamala’s dangerously liberal record and see her for who she is — a phony, radical, San Francisco liberal who would further spiral our once great nation into a sanctuary for illegal immigrants and a nightmare for law-abiding Americans,” Leavitt said.

Beyond the campaign, many Trump supporters have expressed despondency because of the sudden lurch from anticipating a landslide at the time of his formal nomination in July to fearing his campaign could blow it. Still, Trump remains in a better polling position than at this point in 2020 or 2016, and his advisers said the race was reverting to the close nail-biter they always expected.

“The campaign is better positioned today than it was in 2016 and 2020. There’s no reason to panic,” said Reince Priebus, an informal adviser and Trump’s former chief of staff.

Democrats also expect a razor-thin margin on par with the 40,000 votes across three states that decided the 2020 election.

Republicans view Georgia as a must-win for Trump and Pennsylvania as pivotal for Harris. Heading into the traditional start of the peak campaign season after Labor Day, Trump led in Georgia by 2 percentage points in The Washington Post’s polling averages as of Sunday, and Harris led in Pennsylvania by 3.

“Gen Z, Black males and metropolitan, White college-educated voters, he was just not doing as well as he should with those groups,” said Brian Robinson, a Georgia-based GOP strategist, speaking of Biden. “A lot of that is just coming home, they want to be Democrats but couldn’t vote for Biden.”

TV ad spending highlights the pivotal role of Pennsylvania, where, as of Thursday, Democrats had invested nearly $69 million on television ads related to the presidential race, while Republicans are spending $66 million between Labor Day and Election Day, according to AdImpact.

After Pennsylvania, Democrats are spending the most on television commercials in Michigan ($52 million), followed by Arizona ($35 million), Georgia ($35 million), Wisconsin ($33 million), North Carolina ($25 million) and Nevada ($20 million). Republicans, meanwhile, are spending $34 million in Georgia, $9 million in Arizona, $7 million in Michigan, $4 million in Wisconsin, $4 million in North Carolina and $2 million in Nevada.

“Every single one of these competitive battleground states is within the margin of error, this is a race that’s going to be decided like the last two elections … on the margins,” said Amy Walter, editor in chief of the Cook Political Report. “The benefit that Trump had in 2016 and for much of 2024 was that he was seen as the outsider, he could grab the mantle of change. … He doesn’t own that in the same way anymore.”

Going forward, Harris and her allies have reserved more airtime than Republican presidential advertisers through the election, according to AdImpact, though those bookings often fluctuate in the final weeks. A Trump campaign official declined to comment on ad-spending strategy.

The Harris campaign is also counting on a large turnout operation powered by 2,000 staff across 312 offices in the core battleground states. Fueled by $540 million raised since Harris entered the race in July, the campaign is targeting moderate independents and Republicans to cut into Trump’s leads in rural areas and red counties such as Washington and Jenkins in Georgia, Union and Jefferson in Pennsylvania, Jackson and Wilson in North Carolina, and Waushara and Rusk in Wisconsin.

The Trump campaign, by contrast, is relying on 18,000 volunteers trained to turn out their neighbors, alongside various field programs run by allied super PACs.

Both candidates are preparing for the Sept. 10 debate. After much bluster from Trump, the date, moderator and rules will be the same as the debate he did with Biden in June.

Labor Day now also marks the beginning of voting season, as the first mail ballots go out to voters in North Carolina this week. Republicans have sought to make up ground with early and mail voting after deficits cost them in 2020 and 2022, but Trump has continued to cast doubt on mail voting.

Emily Guskin contributed to this report.

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SAN ANTONIO — Leticia Sanchez was a church deaconess, teacher’s aide and an activist in her majority-Latino community helping register people to vote before she was arrested in 2018 for the first time in her life.

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) accused her and three other Hispanic women of forming an “organized voter fraud ring” that targeted elderly voters by applying for mail-in ballots they had not requested.

Five years later, the case was dismissed after the state’s highest criminal court ruled Paxton didn’t have the authority to prosecute Sanchez. But even with her record cleared, the cost of being branded a felon was enormous.

“It’s been difficult to move forward,” Sanchez, 63, said in her first interview since the arrest. “We didn’t do anything wrong. We were just helping people.”

The church leader’s case fits a pattern that has emerged in Texas under Paxton: Aggressive prosecutions for alleged election fraud crimes that upend lives but result in few cases that go to trial and end in a conviction. The Republican attorney general and his supporters believe election fraud is rampant, and point to the large number of charges filed as proof. Yet many of those charged have stories like Sanchez’s.

Civil rights groups say the charges tend to target Black or Latino voters and volunteers, many of whom are Democrats. The result has been a chilling effect on volunteers and community groups that for decades have worked to increase turnout in a state with one of the nation’s lowest voter participation rates. Critics say the charges are part of a wider effort by predominantly White, Republican state lawmakers to suppress votes in some of the fastest-growing parts of the majority-minority state: urban and suburban communities that lean Democrat.

“The goal isn’t to get a conviction,” said Chad Dunn, legal director of the UCLA Voting Rights Project, who has defended Texan clients against election-fraud claims and won a 2021 case that curbed the attorney general’s prosecutorial power. “It’s to set up a climate of fear around voting. He uses these witch hunts to gain attention and money.”

Paxton’s work in combating alleged voter fraud is back in focus after a recent spate of state raids on the homes of South Texas “abuelitas,” or older women known for their community work. One of the nation’s largest Latino civil rights organizations has called on the Justice Department to investigate. The department confirmed they are aware of the matter but declined to comment further.

Critics, both Democrats and Republicans, said they have become accustomed to the election season rollout: After a contested race result, the attorney general’s election police announce an investigation. Indictments and raids are timed to the run-up to early voting in the next election. And new, inexperienced voters and volunteers are scared off.

The attorney general’s office did not respond to multiple requests for comment on Paxton’s efforts to prosecute alleged voter fraud to date. Republican Gov. Greg Abbott’s office also did not comment.

“There is nothing more important than the integrity of our elections,” Paxton said in a recent announcement in which he touted a new “illegal voting” tip line. “Any attempt to illegally cancel out legal ballots with fraud, vote harvesting, or other methods will be met with the full force of the law.”

Paxton’s supporters say the election integrity unit’s work has been hamstrung by the court ruling three years ago that determined the attorney general cannot unilaterally prosecute election fraud cases. Republican state Sen. Paul Bettencourt, a Paxton ally, rejected the idea that the unit has been used for political playback, saying investigators are targeting long-problematic parts of the state.

“There has been a history in South Texas of election corruption and official corruption,” said Bettencourt, who represents the Houston area. “This is just an extension of that.”

‘Lives turned upside down’

Latino residents in Fort Worth’s Northside knew Sanchez well. The naturalized U.S. citizen born in Mexico was a trusted community member who helped Spanish-speaking seniors with things like getting food and medicine. She also worked through her Lutheran church to help people fighting substance abuse.

But Sanchez said she felt her community was disempowered, and that much of that had to do with the lack of Hispanic representation in local government. So she said she got certified to help register people to vote and also learned about the process to request mail-in ballots.

“They didn’t believe they could effect change,” Sanchez said of Latino residents in Fort Worth. “They needed more information about the value of their vote and lived in fear. I wanted to help break that fear.”

Working with other leaders, Sanchez registered hundreds to vote and helped elect Hispanic leaders for local office. But those elections raised the suspicion of a Republican activist, Aaron Harris, who began interviewing seniors and concluded Sanchez was illegally collecting absentee ballots, court records show. He alleged she formed part of a “Mexican mafia” scheme to help certain candidates starting in 2014. Those candidates were largely Democrats of Hispanic descent, some of whom were successfully elected.

Harris declined to offer further information on how he reached that conclusion when contacted by The Washington Post, saying only that “the evidence is pretty clear” and then insulting the reporter who asked the question.

Harris sent a full accounting of his investigation to Paxton’s office. They dove in. Investigators surveilled Sanchez, obtained warrants to search her home and finally, handcuffed her at her job. Prosecutors charged her with one count of illegal voting and 16 counts of providing false information on an application for a mail-in ballot. Sanchez’s daughter was also charged in the sting.

The mug shots of Sanchez, her daughter and two others were plastered on local and conservative media. Her arrest was cited in reports for congressional Republicans and conservative think tanks.

Sanchez’s attorney, Greg Westfall, said his client doesn’t dispute helping voters request mail-in ballots, but that she never filled out the form or submitted one on behalf of someone else. Texas law states that voters over the age of 65 — like the ones Sanchez volunteered to help — can request a mail-in ballot and if someone assisted them, that should be noted on the application.

Sanchez’s attorney said she followed that protocol.

“What she did was perfectly legal,” Westfall said. “It would’ve been a problem if she told them how to vote.”

Harris and state investigators, who did not speak Spanish, based their accusations on interviews with elderly Latinos who barely spoke English, according to Westfall, who listened to recordings of the interrogations.

Over the next five years, the case stalled. The coronavirus pandemic hit, slowing prosecutions. The attorney general’s office failed to show up twice to court, Westfall said, and there was only one hearing. The judge in the case was waiting for a ruling from a court of appeals on Paxton’s prosecutorial authority.

“Real people’s lives are turned upside down by a police officer showing up at their home, taking their phones and searching their space,” said Dunn, who brought the case challenging Paxton’s authority. “And that is the not the kind of despotic behavior that is envisioned in the credo of Texas freedom.”

That ruling came in 2021, when Texas’s Court of Criminal Appeals ruled Paxton could not prosecute election fraud cases without a referral or consent of a local prosecutor. The court ruled that a decades-old law giving the attorney general powers to prosecute election crimes was unconstitutional. They reaffirmed that decision in 2022.

As a result of the ruling, Sanchez’s case was dismissed.

For Sanchez and others who were charged with crimes, only to later see them dismissed, much has been lost: six-figure fortunes, dream homes and for some, faith in their adopted country. The deaconess was fired from her school job. Her grandchildren were bullied. Friends and family kept their distance.

Prayer was her only salve.

Chilling effect

Though Texas attorneys general have long gone after election fraud, state leaders have ramped up their efforts since former president Donald Trump falsely claimed the 2020 election was stolen.

Paxton led a lawsuit that unsuccessfully sought to throw out election results in four battleground states. And in 2021, state legislators passed a sweeping bill that eliminated practices like drive-through and overnight voting that had helped draw more Black and Latino voters to the polls.

Community leaders say the law has had a negative impact on nonprofit groups that have long worked to help get disadvantaged voters to the polls. Tania Chavez Camacho, the executive director of La Unión del Pueblo Entero (LUPE), a civil rights group, said her organization has turned away members looking for help with their ballots. They also no longer drive people to the polls.

“We have seen a drop off in volunteers for voting events,” she said. “I think that is a real threat to democracy.”

When there is fraud in Texas, experts said, the cases rarely impact the outcome of elections or provide evidence of massive organized efforts to overturn them. Often, they say, it’s the result of a mistake or misunderstanding about complicated laws.

Crystal Mason’s years-long prison sentence was overturned earlier this year after she said she made an honest mistake when she filled out a provisional ballot in 2016 while on supervised release for felony tax fraud. A person with a felony conviction can only vote in Texas if they have finished serving their sentence.

Mason’s vote was never counted. Still, the local prosecutor charged her with illegal voting and is asking the state’s criminal appeals court to reinstate her sentence.

Paxton’s election integrity unit opened at least 169 cases of alleged voter fraud that appear to have resulted in just one judgment since 2016, according to records they released in response to a request from the nonprofit watchdog group American Oversight. The rest of the cases were closed due to, among other things, insufficient evidence or prosecutors declining to pursue them. It is unclear how Paxton’s office defines a “judgment,” and they did not respond to a request to explain the records.

Other records obtained by American Oversight indicate at least 20 individuals pleaded guilty or were found guilty in trial up until 2021, when a court ruling limited the attorney general’s powers. Another 54 entered diversionary programs to avoid trial. Those numbers represent a minuscule fraction of the state’s 17 million registered voters.

The election fraud unit’s work has slowed since the 2021 ruling, but Paxton has continued filing charges, most recently touting a series of electioneering cases brought against school officials. He said in a statement the cases were filed in civil rather than criminal court because he was constrained by the 2021 ruling.

Paxton, members of his office and his supporters often cite the unusual metric of how many charges they have brought forward — rather than the number of successful convictions — to prove that the election unit is having success.

In an interview with Tucker Carlson nearly a year ago, Paxton derided the court of criminal appeals ruling that barred his office from pursuing voter-fraud cases unilaterally. He accused district attorneys in the state’s largest cities, all Democrat strongholds, of being “controlled” by Democrat donor George Soros and unwilling to pursue voter-fraud cases.

“They are not going to prosecute. We were doing it. We had 900 cases. So this whole idea that there’s no voter fraud? Complete fabrication,” Paxton said.

Right-wing Texas groups that complain of voter fraud praise Paxton’s efforts.

“Every bit helps in increasing awareness and decreasing the occurrences of fraud,” Julie McCarty, founder of True Texas Project, a tea party group, said of Paxton’s election integrity unit, adding that Paxton has been “on fire” this year.

An ACLU of Texas analysis of prosecutions by Paxton’s election integrity unit shows the targets of election fraud investigations tended to be people of color, said Savannah Kumar, a staff attorney with the group.

“We know for individual voters who are simply trying to have their voices heard by participating in elections, these prosecutions can completely derail their lives,” Kumar said. “The incentives are just not there for people to have their voices heard and risk years in jail.”

A high price

Tomas Ramirez III, a Republican justice of the peace in Medina County, outside San Antonio, was among those charged in a February 2021 election fraud indictment. Three older Hispanic women who volunteered for his campaign were also charged. Together they were accused of about 250 offenses. The state levied 35 felony counts against Ramirez that could have imprisoned him for life.

An experienced trial attorney, Ramirez said the charges were illogical. Investigators, he said, alleged he illegally possessed about 17 suspicious absentee ballots. They traced the ballots to a facility in Devine, Tex., where Ramirez had visited once during his 2018 primary campaign and given people there his business card. Then he left. Ramirez prevailed in defeating the incumbent.

“There was absolutely nothing and they brought the charges anyway. They never presented evidence,” said Ramirez, whose case was dismissed in three different courts after 18 months. “It caused all kinds of grief for my family.”

The stress and humiliation weighed on him in both tangible and unexpected ways. Ramirez spent tens of thousands of dollars on his defense. Business at his law practice slowed and bottles were thrown at his door. He was suspended from the bench. His wife and children came home to anonymous hate mail.

Ramirez described himself as “conservative an individual as you’ll run across in Texas” and believes voter fraud exists. He hosts a weekly Bible study class on YouTube, wrote a book on biblical fundamentals for fellow Christians and fits the profile of the type of voter the attorney general considers part of his base.

“All I know is I don’t like the way they handled my case,” he said. “And if they are handling my case in the same way they handled the others, that’s not right.”

Mary Jane Balderrama is a longtime community leader in South Texas and canvassed for Ramirez, who is a friend. The then 73-year-old was on a birthday trip when she received a call from Paxton’s office saying they had a warrant for her arrest. Balderrama said she thought it was a birthday prank. The stern voice on the line assured her it wasn’t.

Balderrama was a state social worker for years and visited the Bandera County jail frequently as a missionary to pray with inmates. Now it was she on the other side as police took her fingerprints.

“It was a horrible experience,” said the now-76-year-old, who leans Republican but has voted for Democrats in the past.

What followed was months of near-nervous-breakdown, visits to the neurologist to stave off facial paralysis brought on by stress, nightmares and the loss of a dream retirement condo overlooking a golf course.

The case was dismissed in 2022. Ramirez, with Balderrama’s help, won reelection that year by far more votes than the race that put him on the attorney general’s radar.

For Sanchez, the church deaconess, hearing about other Latinos being charged with election fraud triggers flashbacks. Details from the day Sanchez’s home was searched come back. One officer took a blood sample from her without explaining why. Another asked for alcohol when she offered the officers a refreshment.

She said the only thing that got her through those days was her faith.

“I prayed to God because this was all beyond my strength,” she said. “I had to believe that the truth would be revealed.”

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DETROIT — Vice President Kamala Harris sought to shore up the support of organized labor in so-called “blue wall” states at the end of the holiday weekend, stressing that union members had a binary choice in November between her and former president Donald Trump, a candidate she said has a history of being hostile to workers.

An unconventional race that features a new name at the top of the ticket and a truncated sprint to the White House still held true to one late summer ritual: politicians making their pitch to union workers on the holiday dedicated to laborers — though Trump held no events.

Harris started the day in Michigan and then headed to Pennsylvania, where she will address steelworkers alongside President Joe Biden, their first campaign event together since he announced he was dropping out of the race and endorsing Harris. In Pittsburgh, Harris is expected to say that U.S. Steel should remain domestically owned and operated, a Harris campaign official said.

The sale of U.S. Steel to Japan-based Nippon Steel Corp. comes during political efforts to rebuild American manufacturing, and both Biden and Trump have expressed their opposition to the deal.

The effort is opposed by the United Steelworkers union, which has endorsed Harris.

In Detroit, Harris directed her fire at Trump, saying his record shows he will continue to be hostile to workers.

“As president, we will always remember Donald Trump blocked overtime benefits for millions of workers and blocked efforts to raise the minimum wage,” she said. “He appointed union busters to the National Labor Relations Board, and he supported so-called right-to-work laws.”

As she spoke, the gathered union members chanted “Trump’s a scab.”

Neither Trump nor his running mate, Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, had any advertised events on Labor Day — something the Harris campaign sought to draw attention to.

In a statement, Harris campaign spokesperson Joseph Costello said that Trump “is ditching workers on Labor Day because he is an anti-worker, anti-union extremist who will sell out working families for his billionaire donors if he takes power.”

Earlier Monday, Trump wrote posts on his social media platform, Truth Social, wishing workers a happy Labor Day and highlighting his administration’s work to bolster American workers while he was in office. He asserted that “Kamala and Biden have undone all of that.”

Harris is trying to garner the strong union support enjoyed by Biden, who has frequently described himself as the most union-friendly president in history. He was the first president to walk a picket line in 2023, and unions — including steelworkers — helped him win Pennsylvania in 2020 and will probably be vital to Harris’s chances four years later.

Harris’s campaign sought to stress that she too would be protective of American workers. The selection of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate was seen as reinforcing Harris’s union bona fides. Both Walz and his wife are union members, and his tenure as governor was seen as filled with pro-worker benefits.

In Michigan, Harris was boosted by another Midwestern voice, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D), who painted Trump, who was born wealthy and became a billionaire, as out of touch with workers and everyday Americans.

“When he was president, Donald Trump blew a $1 trillion hole in our national deficit to cut taxes for his wealthy friends and corporations,” Whitmer said. “At the same time, he gutted the job protections for union workers. He made it easier to screw people out of overtime pay and crush organizing meetings.”

“If your most famous line is ‘You’re fired,’ you sure as hell don’t understand workers,” she added.

Tyler Pager and Maegan Vazquez in Washington contributed to this report.

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