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British police have found human remains in a west London apartment which they believe are connected to body parts found earlier this week in another city, officers said Friday.

Authorities are now on the hunt for a Colombian man thought to be linked to the case.

Investigations have been underway since two suitcases were found on Clifton Suspension Bridge in Bristol, about 100 miles (160 kilometers) west of the capital, on Wednesday. They contained the remains of two men, police previously said.

The Metropolitan Police said in a statement that officers believed the newly discovered body parts “are connected to the human remains found in Bristol.”

It added that a 36-year-old man arrested in London over the grisly find has been released without charge.

They are now on the hunt for another man believed to be linked to the case. Officers said their priority is to find Yostin Andres Mosquera, a 24-year-old Colombian national, naming him for the first time.

They released a photo of Mosquera clad in a black Adidas baseball cap, black jeans, a black jacket, black trainers with thick white soles, with a black backpack.

Officers also believe they know the identity of the two male victims, but “formal identification is yet to take place,” they said. Police are trying to locate and inform their next of kin.

“Both victims are thought to have been known to Mosquera and the Met is appealing for information on his whereabouts,” the statement added.

“This is a fast-moving enquiry with detectives in London and Bristol actively pursuing a number of lines of enquiry,” Deputy Assistant Commissioner Andy Valentine said.

The investigation began when Avon and Somerset Police received a call late on Wednesday about a man with a suitcase “acting suspiciously” on the bridge in Bristol. The suitcases were later found in the area, the force said on Thursday.

Authorities later said a “man wanted in connection with the incident had traveled to Bristol from London earlier the same day.” Police previously did not identify the individual, despite a large-scale search involving a police helicopter and coastguard.

They arrested the unnamed 36-year-old early Friday but said the person was not the same individual as the one police were initially looking for.

Vicks Hayward-Melen, acting Bristol commander of Avon and Somerset Police, told the BBC’s Today program Friday that officers and initial attendants at the scene are being supported after the “really horrendous discovery.”

The police have said that it is “not aware of any current risk to the wider public,” adding that high-visibility patrols are being carried out in the area.

It is the second grisly case to have shocked Britain this week, after Tuesday’s triple killing of the wife and two daughters of a BBC sport commentator.

Carol Hunt, 61, the wife of horse racing commentator John Hunt, and their daughters, Hannah Hunt, 28, and Louise Hunt, 25, were named as the victims of the attack.

Kyle Clifford, 26, was found by officers in Enfield, north London, on Wednesday following an extensive manhunt, and arrested on Thursday in connection with the killing.

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The devotees rushed to collect soil from the ground the man had just walked on, thousands thronging to the front of a venue densely crammed with a quarter of a million people, under stifling heat.

But one by one, many began falling onto the muddy field and into a sewer nearby, crushing each other as panicked screams pierced the air.

They had arrived to receive spiritual enlightenment, but 121 people – mostly women – were killed by the crowd crush in northern India’s Uttar Pradesh state last week. Those who survived were left scarred and traumatized.

The man they had come to see was known to his disciples as Bhole Baba, a self-styled Hindu spiritual leader worshipped by many as a living god.

And he is among dozens of spiritual gurus in the country who inspire devotion in millions of followers, have the ear of the Indian elite, and rake in colossal sums of money.

While the world’s most populous nation has long produced self-styled “godmen”, the tradition has, over the last few decades, evolved into a multimillion-dollar industry, whose biggest stars control vast philanthropic and business empires. A large chunk of their money comes from their followers’ donations.

They are widely revered in a country where religion and faith dictate much of society – with some even winning endorsement from the highest echelons of society.

But that industry occasionally finds itself mired in controversy, with several holy men either convicted or accused of a range of crimes – from financial fraud to murder and rape – alarming those who cast doubt on their divine personas.

“It’s a question we’ve long asked,” said Meera Nanda, author of “The God Market: How Globalization is Making India More Hindu.”

“What brings literally millions of poor, desperate people to these godmen?”

A sense of belonging

Subhash Lal was working as a security guard nearly 200 kilometers (124 miles) from Mughal Garhi village, where Bhole Baba was delivering his sermon, when the news flashed across his TV screen.

Lal’s mother, a devout follower of the guru, was among the crowd, and he was desperate for answers. Lal and his family rushed to the hospital that was treating the survivors, when his son learned of the devastating news.

“He told me, Dad, your mother is no more,” the 48-year-old said. “My mother believed in (Bhole Baba). I couldn’t tell her anything. She would attend these functions… she believed in him. What could I do?”

People like Lal’s mother – poor and on the lower rungs of India’s hierarchical caste system – make up the bulk of Bhole Baba’s following. They are predominantly Dalit women from India’s most populous state, Uttar Pradesh, where religion holds particular sway. And for them, a sense of devotion to these godmen is a way to be seen and heard within the Hindu religion.

Despite being outlawed in 1950, the caste system, which categorizes Hindus at birth and once forced the so-called “untouchables” or Dalits to the margins of society, is still omnipresent in the daily lives of millions across the nation.

Policeman turned preacher

Reportedly born Narayan Sakar to a low-caste family, Bhole Baba used to be a constable with the Uttar Pradesh Police before becoming a preacher and establishing an ashram – or place of worship – in the state.

Sitting on an ornately decorated chair, he often delivers impassioned sermons exhorting his followers to maintain their devotion.

“If, through the medium of truth, you remove old trash from within you, and today if you let truth into your heart, devotion for the god into your heart, humanity into your heart… then know that even if the world abuses you, you will not get affected by it at all,” he can be heard saying in one of his speeches.

The “rigidity of caste structure” is an important reason for the proliferation of godmen, said K. Kalyani, an assistant professor of Sociology at Azim Premji University, Bangalore.

“The low-caste community are particularly debarred within Hindu religion to have respectable position within religious institutions,” she said. “Their presence in the sanctum sanctorum as priest or their proximity to deity is seen as an act of defilement due to practices of ‘untouchability’.”

In the absence of religious and spiritual gratification for low-caste Hindus, Kalyani said, an “alternative form of religiosity becomes inevitable.”

Sheetal Jatav, a survivor of last week’s Bhole Baba event, said her community – the lower-caste Jatavs – “believe in him immensely,” hanging his pictures on their walls or even placing it inside small temples at home.

Miracle workers

The gurus India has produced range from men who claim they can perform miracles, like the revered Sathya Sai Baba, to the yoga guru and founder of the widely popular Art of Living foundation, Sri Sri Ravi Shankar.

Claiming to possess mystical knowledge and the ability to cure illness and solve problems, godmen inspire remarkable fervor in their millions of followers.

But with their rise has come a slew of criticism over the true intentions behind this perceived divinity, fueled in recent decades by their grandiose lifestyles and immense wealth.

Gurmeet Ram Rahim Singh, head of the spiritual organization Dera Sacha Sauda, is another self-styled spiritual guru revered by millions. His group has ashrams across 10 states and union territories in India and claims to have 60 million followers worldwide.

He is also a convicted killer and rapist. In 2017 he was sentenced to 20 years in prison for raping two of his followers. Two years later, he received a life term for the murder of a journalist who exposed the sexual abuse of women within his group.

Despite the severity of his crimes, Singh maintains a cult-like following. The rape conviction even sparked riots by his supporters that left 36 people dead and hundreds injured across northern India.

Since then, Singh has been granted parole multiple times, once even walking out of prison to attend his own birthday party, raising allegations of impunity for these holy men.

“They have deep connections with the political machine… and it’s deeply problematic,” Nanda, the author, said.

The furor over Singh’s case was reminiscent of violent skirmishes that broke out in 2013 after the arrest of guru Asaram Bapu for raping a 16-year-old girl. He was convicted five years later and given a life sentence for the crime.

Famous followers

Many godmen are also known for their philanthropy, praised for building schools for the impoverished and developing infrastructure in small villages – and they also attract millions of people to small towns across the country.

Sathya Sai Baba’s followers, for example, included the US actor Goldie Hawn and Hard Rock Cafe founder Isaac Tigrett. When the guru died in 2011, Indian cricket legend Sachin Tendulkar openly wept at his funeral, which was also attended by India’s prime minister at the time, Manmohan Singh.

More often than not, the most devout of their followers come from the lower middle classes, but millions in donations also stream in from foreigners, Indians living abroad, and the richest of society.

While Sathya Sai Baba’s appeal was – in large part – due to a certain level of mystique, other godmen, including Singh, are more outspoken, carefully using the media to fuel their rise.

“There is an entire media structure that supports and promotes them,” said Kalyani, the sociologist. “There are dedicated channels like Astha or Sanskar TV which have dedicated time to show their preachings.”

As authorities investigate the organizers of last week’s event for alleged negligence, Bhole Baba, who left the event in an armored vehicle, is not being pursued by authorities.

Many of those affected by the tragedy are angry.

“This is not a real (godman),” said Surendra Singh, whose wife was a devout follower of the guru, and died in the tragic crowd crush.

Speaking to India’s largest news agency, ANI, Bhole Baba, appearing forlorn, said: “This incident has left me distraught.”

“Mischief makers and anti-social elements responsible for the stampede will not be spared.”

Referring to himself by his birth name, he added: “May the praise of Narayan Sakar Hari resound forever throughout the universe.”

Aishwarya S. Iyer contributed reporting

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Israel had previously agreed to allow Palestinians fully unrestricted access to northern Gaza during an eventual ceasefire, but the Israeli Prime Minister told his negotiating team this week to demand that armed men be barred from northern Gaza as part of any ceasefire and hostage deal, the source said.

The new demand could potentially upend progress in hostage negotiations and raises further questions about Netanyahu’s commitment to Israel’s own proposal for a deal that has become the basis for detailed negotiations.

But a statement by the Israeli prime minister’s office on Sunday cast doubt on whether the deal would progress, laying out several “principles” Israel is not prepared to abandon, including resumed fighting in Gaza “until all of objectives of the war have been achieved.”

Israel launched its war on Gaza nine months ago, in response to Hamas’ October 7 attack that killed 1,200 people and took more than 250 others hostage, according to Israeli authorities. The war has left swathes of the enclave unrecognizable, displaced almost the entire population and killed more than 38,000 people in Gaza, according to the health ministry there. Israel had said it wouldn’t end the war until all hostages are freed and Hamas is eliminated.

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Six decomposing female bodies were found in a quarry in the Kenyan capital of Nairobi on Friday, according to police, sparking a protest at a nearby police station.

“The alarm was raised following the discovery of six severely mutilated bodies, all female, in various stages of decomposition” in the quarry, which was being used as a dumpsite, according to a statement by the Directorate of Criminal Investigations.

The area has been cordoned off as a crime scene, and “preliminary investigations suggest a similar mode of killing of the deceased,” the statement said. The bodies were found wrapped in “nylon papers and reinforced with nylon ropes” and have been transported to a mortuary where “they await postmortem examinations,” police added.

The identities of the dead or how long the bodies had been at the quarry were not immediately clear.

The horrifying scene comes after weeks of anti-government protests over a since-scrapped finance bill. The protests resulted in scores of civilian deaths amid a heavy-handed response from Kenyan police. Human rights groups have also accused security forces of abducting Kenyans during the protests.

The discovery of the bodies on Friday has sparked fresh public anger and brought a new spotlight to Kenya’s femicide crisis, just months after thousands of women marched on the streets with banners reading: “Stop killing us.”

Fallout from protests

Dozens of people were killed in police shootings across the country in just one day of the anti-government protests in June, according to Kenya’s Police Reforms Working Group (PRWG).

Kenya’s presidency announced that Japheth Koome, the country’s police chief, resigned on Friday. His deputy, Douglas Kanja, has been named acting police chief.

Friday’s move comes after nearly all of President William Ruto’s cabinet was fired, with the exceptions of Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua and Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi.

The decision was taken “upon reflection, and a holistic appraisal” of his cabinet, he told reporters from State House Nairobi.

This is a developing story and will be updated.

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At least 50 Palestinians were found killed on Friday, local authorities said, after the Israeli military pulled back from several areas in central and northern Gaza, leaving entire neighborhoods razed and residents reeling from a spate of heavy attacks.

More than nine months of fighting in Gaza has turned swathes of the territory into rubble-filled wasteland. The Israeli military offensive following the Hamas-led October 7 attacks has triggered a sprawling humanitarian crisis, crushed the health system and depleted food and water supplies. The UN warned Tuesday of widespread famine across the strip, and relief workers say Israeli aid restrictions mean they are unable to support Palestinians trying to survive the war. Human rights agencies reiterated calls for a ceasefire, as negotiations between Israel and Hamas this week hit yet another roadblock.

Israel launched its military offensive on October 7 after the militant group Hamas, which governs Gaza, attacked southern Israel. At least 1,200 people were killed and more than 250 others abducted, according to Israeli authorities.

Israeli strikes in Gaza have since killed 38,345 Palestinians and injured another 88,295 people, according to the Ministry of Health there.

‘We want a total ceasefire’

Palestinian residents surveyed the desolate landscape in Tal al-Hawa neighborhood on Friday, as the sound of Israeli drones buzzed overhead.

“We want a total ceasefire,” she said. “We don’t want to be displaced from one place to another. The fear is in the eyes of the young ones.”

The UN warned that Israeli evacuation orders for people to leave Gaza City on Wednesday “will only fuel mass suffering for Palestinian families,” adding that many have already been displaced multiple times.

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Winston Churchill, often considered Britain’s greatest leader, resigned at 80 in the face of mounting health problems. Keir Starmer, Britain’s newest leader, wants to force lawmakers in the country’s upper chamber to step down at the same age. Does this mean he thinks octogenarians like President Joe Biden should step back from politics?

Despite growing questions about Biden’s mental acuity and fitness for a second term, Starmer said the 81-year-old president had been “in good form” when the two met for talks, but “of course” he would say if he was concerned about him.

Starmer, 61, is the latest in a series of world leaders who have been asked whether Biden is too old to campaign and govern effectively. But he spoke positively about their discussions at the summit on Wednesday.

“We were billed for 45 minutes. We probably went on for the best part of an hour, covered a lot of ground – and he was in good form,” Starmer told Tapper.

Starmer said the talks were “a really good opportunity” for him to “speak to the president about the special relationship” between their two countries. He said Biden “deserves credit” for presiding over a summit that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has called a success.

Zelensky’s comments were made before Biden mistakenly introduced the Ukrainian leader as “President Putin,” having to correct himself hastily. In a press conference later Thursday evening, Biden also mistakenly called his Vice President, Kamala Harris “Vice President Trump” when discussing if she could beat the former president.

On his plan to force lawmakers in the House of Lords – which scrutinizes the government and makes recommendations on laws – to step down after turning 80, Starmer said the policy was “more to do with the size” of the unelected upper chamber than the fitness of elderly politicians.

“Our second chamber is the biggest second chamber in the world. We’ve got over 800 members. We’ve got to get the size down,” he said.

Starmer is not alone in trying to downplay concerns about Biden’s age. French President Emmanuel Macron, attending the summit in a weakened position with his country in political limbo after a snap parliamentary election, said Biden remained “in charge” and “clear on the issues he knows well.”

Starmer was also asked by Tapper to clarify comments made by David Lammy, a longstanding Labour politician who became Britain’s foreign secretary last week.

In 2018, Lammy called then-President Donald Trump – who will also turn 80 in office if re-elected to a second term in November – a “woman-hating, neo-Nazi-sympathizing sociopath” and a “profound threat to the international order.”

Starmer said his government will “work with whoever is elected” in November, but stressed “I’m a progressive and we’re sister parties with the Democrats.”

Starmer’s comments echoed his previous remarks on a potential Trump presidency; he told the BBC last year he would “have to make it work,” though that doesn’t mean “we would agree on everything.”

Asked about Trump’s threats to leave NATO and cut a deal with Putin, likely ending the war in Ukraine on terms favorable to Russia, Starmer praised the “clarity of purpose” that other members have shown in the alliance during the summit. He also said Britain remains “absolutely committed” to raising its defense spending to 2.5% – above the NATO guideline of 2% – but did not provide a timeline for this.

“My position as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom could not be clearer, which is an unshakable support for NATO,” he said. “We were proudly one of the countries that was there at the founding of NATO… We’re proud of that history.”

Tacking to the center

A week ago, Starmer guided the Labour Party to a historic victory, winning a majority of 172 seats in the House of Commons and bringing to an end 14 years of Conservative rule.

But, almost immediately, Starmer’s victory was described as hollow and his mandate fragile, with critics pointing out Labour’s relatively low share of the popular vote, despite its commanding victory under Britain’s first-past-the-post electoral system.

Asked if his victory was fueled more by anger towards the Conservatives than enthusiasm for Labour, Starmer hit back, saying his team deserved praise for turning the party around after it slumped to a dismal defeat in 2019 under the left-wing leadership of Jeremy Corbyn.

“I took over the Labour Party four and a half years ago. We’d just had the worst general election result since 1935. The pessimists were saying, ‘The Labour Party will never win a general election again.’ The optimists said, ‘Well you might, but it will take you 10 years,’” Starmer said.

“I said, ‘No, we’re going to do it in one parliamentary term. But we’ve got to be ruthless, we’ve got to be steely, we’re going to change the Labour Party, we’re going to turn it inside out and make sure it’s a party that always says: Country first, party second.’”

He said he had managed to pull his party back to the center ground, shunning the extremes.

“Brits are reasonable, tolerant – they don’t much like the extreme left, they don’t much like the extreme right. And we underestimate that,” he said. “One of the phrases I used in the election was we need a politics that trod more lightly on people’s lives. And that’s very important in Britain.”

Although he ruled out trying to rejoin the European Union, Starmer said he wanted to “reset” Britain’s relationship with the bloc. Starmer’s “number one mission,” he said, is to restore Britain to economic growth, which has virtually flatlined since the 2008 financial crisis

Starmer has softened his view on the British monarchy, having once talked about abolishing it, and said he was looking forward to his weekly audience with King Charles III, now he’s become prime minister.

“It is always valuable to listen to what he has to say. He’s incredibly interested in politics, in the affairs across the United Kingdom, and global affairs,” said Starmer. “They’re a really good frank exchange of views and long may they continue.”

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DVD rental service Redbox is set to shut down after 22 years in business, as streaming continues to dominate the at-home entertainment market.

Redbox’s parent company, Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment, changed its Chapter 11 bankruptcy case, filed last month, to a Chapter 7 liquidation case on Wednesday. The conversion signifies that the company couldn’t come up with a repayment plan for its outstanding debts and will soon turn to selling off assets to pay back creditors.

With the change to a Chapter 7 case, all employees will now be laid off and Redbox’s 24,000 kiosks will close. Lawyers for Chicken Soup for the Soul told the court they had worked “day and night” to find a solution to avoid the outcome, Deadline reported.

A current Redbox employee, who asked not to be identified due to uncertainty over future legal actions he said some at the company are considering, said the news has been destabilizing.

“Sentiment’s in the gutter,” he said. “We have coworkers who’ve missed rent, facing eviction.”

The employee said staffers were told during a town hall meeting Thursday that they wouldn’t be receiving pay for the hours they’ve worked so far this month. Additionally, he said layoffs wouldn’t be made official until a bankruptcy trustee is appointed, raising concerns about when employees can file for unemployment insurance.

A Delaware judge overseeing the case indicated Wednesday that “there is no means to continue to pay employees,” the Hollywood Reporter reported Thursday.

A lawyer for Redbox and a representative for the company didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.

Founded in 2002, Redbox at its peak shook up Hollywood with its rental service, which at the time was cheaper than buying a DVD. But with the rise of digital offerings and streaming platforms, DVD sales collapsed during the 2010s.

In 2022, Redbox had $325 million in debt, and Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment acquired it.

The parent company had accumulated $1 billion in debt by the time of its bankruptcy filing last month. According to court documents filed earlier this month, it was struggling to make payroll and pay for health care plans for its more than 1,000 employees.

Redbox is just the latest physical media company that has struggled to survive streaming’s dominance. Some 99% of U.S. households pay for at least one service, a Forbes survey found this year; others rely on free ad-supported streaming platforms. This year, Best Buy stopped selling physical media like DVDs and Blu-rays, attributing it to the shift in consumption of entertainment.

Streaming, meanwhile, reached a record-high share of TV viewership in May, a recent Nielsen report found.

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For more than 10,000 Olympic athletes, making it to Paris this summer is a dream come true. Thousands of potential tourists feel otherwise.

Delta Air Lines says travelers are avoiding the city this summer and booking to destinations elsewhere, amounting to a $100 million hit for the airline during an otherwise bustling summer for European travel, CEO Ed Bastian said.

Delta’s third-quarter profit and revenue forecast fell short of Wall Street expectations after airlines flooded the market with added flights. The airline reiterated its full-year outlook Thursday.

“Unless you’re going to the Olympics, people aren’t going to Paris…very few are,” Bastian told CNBC. “Business travel, you know, other type of tourism is potentially going elsewhere.”

Delta has the most service of any U.S. airline to Paris and has a joint venture with Air France. Together the two carriers have approximately 70% market share in nonstop service between the U.S. and France, according to consulting firm ICF.

On July 1, Air France-KLM, the parent of Air France, forecast a revenue hit of as much as 180 million euros $195.5 million) in June through August because of the Olympic Games.

“International markets show a significant avoidance of Paris,” the company said. “Travel between the city and other destinations is also below the usual June-August average as residents in France seem to be postponing their holidays until after the Olympic Games or considering alternative travel plans.”

Bastian said Paris demand after the Olympics, which run July 26 through August 11, will likely be strong. “During the period itself there’s a little bit of a hesitation,” he said. Air France-KLM had a similar projection.

One clear deterrent for mid-summer travel to Paris: Prices for hotel rooms are set to skyrocket.

Hotel-data firm STR said revenue per available room for upscale hotels in Paris will soar as much as 45% in July and August from last year. Meanwhile, it forecast a 3% to 5% increase in the metric in London and 2% to 4% increase in Rome for the same months over 2023.

Many travelers were already shifting their European vacations beyond the traditional summer travel season, Delta’s president, Glen Hauenstein, said on an earnings call on Thursday. That gives airlines a chance to earn more revenue outside of traditional peak seasons.

“We see the season extending as a whole group of people, whether or not it’s retirees, whether or not it’s people with double incomes and without children, who don’t have the school concerns,” he said. “It’s actually a better time to go to Europe in September and October than it is potentially in July and August when the weather is so hot and everything is so packed.”

He also said Delta is seeing a boom in travel to Japan, thanks in large part to a favorable exchange rate for U.S. tourists.

“When the yen was 83 [per U.S. dollar], it was very difficult to be able to afford to go see Japan and all the great things that Japan has to offer. With the yen at 160, it’s a very different world for U.S. travelers and they seem to be taking great advantage of that,” he said.

Disclosure: CNBC parent NBCUniversal owns NBC Sports and NBC Olympics. NBC Olympics is the U.S. broadcast rights holder to all Summer and Winter Games through 2032.

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Top advisers to Donald Trump have scripted a Republican National Convention focused on immigration, inflation and other issues where he has a political advantage over President Biden and his party, according to Republicans familiar with the planning. The intent is to soften his image and sidestep his false claims of a stolen election, views on the Jan. 6, 2021, riot and the GOP debate over abortion, which millions of Americans have recoiled from as he seeks a return to the White House.

But the four-day convention in Milwaukee starting Monday will also showcase a party more inseparable than ever from Trump’s MAGA movement, elements of his polarizing vision of a second term, and a party apparatus that has squelched almost all dissent. State delegations will be full of activists who have championed his assertion that he was indicted in four cases for political reasons; and in some instances, were themselves charged with illegally trying to overturn his 2020 loss. Trump’s dark message is reflected in promotional materials for the gathering that call American cities “hollowed out, dystopian nightmares.”

The lineup of speakers is filled with everyday Americans, celebrities, politicians and others, according to the Republicans familiar with the planning, who like some others spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private arrangements. But organizers did not giving speaking slots to Trump supporters who stormed the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, even though Trump often praises them and sometimes kicks off his rallies with their jailhouse rendition of the national anthem. The convention will vote on a party platform that softens the GOP’s official stance on abortion, despite social conservatives’ protests.

The quadrennial convention will test Republicans’ ability to tailor their pitch to a general election audience at a moment of upheaval in the presidential race. Biden has faced calls from some prominent Democrats to end his campaign after a disastrous debate where he appeared to repeatedly lose his train of thought. Trump was the first former president to become a felon after his conviction in a hush money case earlier this year and is navigating a thicket of other charges.

“That’s one of the things we see in some polls, that some people will vote for Biden even if they think he’s doing a bad job. We want to give the American people something to vote for,” said RNC Chairman Michael Whatley in an interview. “We have a better messenger, and we have a better message. We hope to showcase that next week.”

Whatley said the party did not plan to talk about Jan. 6, 2021, or any of the party’s “election integrity” initiatives at the convention. Abortion is not expected to be a major topic either, party leaders said.

Instead of voters seeing a candidate convicted of 34 felony counts who owes almost $500 million in New York courts due to civil findings of business fraud and liability for sexual assault, they hope to present a jocular family man by highlighting almost all of his children. Instead of one accused of trying to overturn an election, taking classified materials illegally and obstructing an investigation to return them, they are hoping to highlight speakers who cast him as stronger than Biden on national security.

At least, that’s the plan. Trump is famously unpredictable, and with thousands of delegates and activists converging from around the country, conventions don’t always proceed on-script.

“The GOP is unified in its opposition to Joe Biden, but it’s not all peaches and cream when it comes to excitement about Donald Trump,” said Asa Hutchinson, the former governor of Arkansas who was one of Trump’s most critical opponents in the primary. The question going into the convention, he said, is whether the message can resonate with independent voters as well as motivate Republicans.

Some of the speakers will include a New York woman whose police officer husband was killed, people who say they were victims of crimes allegedly committed by migrants, and border residents who say their communities have been overrun. They will also feature several supporters of color who will talk about the challenges they have faced from rising costs. Others slated to speak include the mayor of East Palestine, Ohio, where Trump visited after a train derailment — a visit advisers believe was a key point in his campaign.

Nikki Haley, who challenged Trump in the primary and attracted many centrist voters, will not attend the convention and was not invited, according to spokeswoman Chaney Denton, though she endorsed Trump and encouraged her delegates to support him next week. Nachama Soloveichik, Haley’s former communications director, said that if Trump wants to appeal to reluctant Haley voters, the convention should not dwell on the calls for “retribution” that helped Trump rev up his base and dominate the primary.

“Coming in and reassuring people that there’s going to be someone in charge who’s focused on the things that people care about — the economy, inflation, crime, fixing the border, not court cases, not indictments, not revenge, not the drama but just the regular bread-and-butter issues that people care about — I think that will go a long way,” Soloveichik said.

Asked about not inviting Haley, Whatley referred to Haley’s comments that encouraged her delegates to support Trump.

Above all, the convention is meant to promote Trump. His takeover of the party is evident in the policies, people and ideas the gathering will champion, including a focus on border security following his intense criticism of undocumented immigrants that has alarmed some immigrant-rights activists.

“What is our party about right now but electing President Trump?” asked Tamara Scott, one of two Republican committee members from Iowa, defending the singular focus even as she wished the newly drafted platform — “terrific for a campaign document” — spoke more to “timeless” beliefs.

The convention is crafted, in many ways, to reach beyond the base. A prime-time speaking slot will go to the president of the Teamsters union, which usually backs Democrats, people familiar with the planning said, and the program will try to show a different side of Trump through former employees and union workers who know him from New York. Two other smaller union leaders from New York are also expected to speak.

The lineup includes prominent politicians such as Mike Pompeo and former Trump challenger Ron DeSantis, but also pop-culture surrogates like Amber Rose, a celebrity model who recently gave Trump a surprise endorsement.

Other expected speakers include Franklin Graham and Ultimate Fighting Championship President Dana White.

Steve Witkoff, a business executive and friend of Trump’s will talk about why he likes the former president, and his son will speak as well, people familiar with the details said. Other donors on the schedule include Diane Hendricks and David Sacks, the Silicon Valley entrepreneur. Organizers considered featuring Elon Musk but decided against it, an official with knowledge of the plan said. There have been discussions of bringing other celebrities as well such as Mario Andretti and Mariano Rivera.

A number of lawmakers who asked to speak at the convention were told no because planners wanted fewer politicians and more “average people,” people familiar with the planning said.

“We are putting a very significant focus on everyday Americans. We usually have 60 to 65 speakers at one of these things. We’re going to have over 100, with many everyday Americans from all walks of life, all across the country,” Whatley said.

Trump has in some ways tried to distance himself from some hard-line elements of the party in the run-up to the convention. Multiple times this month, he has disavowed a conservative policy initiative called Project 2025 on social media, writing that he has “no idea who is behind it,” even though its architects include former Trump administration officials who are still in his orbit. Trump also approved a pared-down party platform that frames abortion as an issue for states to regulate, rebuffing some calls on the right for a national ban.

Some participants said the document was developed in a way that stifled dissent — with little time for committee members to digest the draft and no opportunity to make amendments, according to member Gayle Ruzicka. She called it a “railroad job.”

Danielle Alvarez, a spokeswoman for the RNC, said the party spoke to delegates and “built consensus” before putting forward a draft that Trump personally reviewed and edited. “The president is the leader of the party and he has built unity because of his winning record,” she said.

While Trump’s advisers hope to minimize talk about abortion, Democrats are sure to keep highlighting Trump’s pivotal role in overturning Roe v. Wade, and the convention next week will be full of activists like Ruzicka who feel strongly about the issue.

“I would love to see them fix it at the convention,” Ruzicka said of the draft platform’s language on abortion.

No matter the programming, themes that alienate moderate voters will be hard to escape. Democrats will also be descending on Milwaukee, relying on some prominent elected officials to rebut what the Democratic National Committee has called Trump’s “dangerous extremism.”

Delegates to the convention — selected at the state level — include many proponents of Trump’s false claims that the 2020 election was “stolen” from him.

Anthony Kern, a state senator from Arizona who is running for Congress, was chosen as a delegate from Arizona shortly after he was charged with illegally trying to deliver Arizona’s electoral votes to Trump rather than to Biden, the winner.

Kern, who defended his actions as lawful, said in an interview that he does not expect much talk about prosecutions of Trump and Trump’s allies at the convention, even though that has been a central theme of Trump’s bid for a second term. “We don’t need to keep talking about it — the media keeps talking about it,” he said. “And we’re going to focus on inflation and shutting our southern border down and ensuring our Second Amendment rights are still in place.”

He did note, however, that he has been selling T-shirts and mugs that fundraise off his indictment. “Just like President Trump,” he said.

Isaac Arnsdorf and Dylan Wells contributed to this report.

This post appeared first on The Washington Post

President Biden told reporters Thursday that unless his team comes to him with an unequivocal and blunt message — “There’s no way you can win” — he has no plans to reconsider his decision to stay in the presidential race.

But following his halting and politically damaging debate performance just over two weeks ago, there are growing Democratic fears that Biden’s path to victory in November has become significantly narrower, giving him almost no margin for error.

Former president Donald Trump, by contrast, now faces a potentially expanded electoral map, giving him multiple possible routes to victory and more wiggle room.

Despite national polls that show only modest slippage for Biden since his June 27 debate debut, his road to the necessary 270 electoral votes through key battlegrounds has further contracted. This is especially true in Sun Belt states such as Arizona, Georgia and Nevada — which Biden won in 2020 — as well as in North Carolina, which he lost by just 1.3 points four years ago and which his campaign had hoped to put back into play.

“The map is a narrower path to 270 for Biden, and a wider one — with more cushion — for Trump,” said Amy Walter, editor in chief of the Cook Political Report. “Even before the debate, the path for Biden was getting narrower. … The whole point of the debate for Biden was he was on his heels and needed to go on offense and change the narrative and momentum and math with this debate, and that’s obviously not where we are.”

“And that,” Walter said, “is why there is such panic among Democrats, because there is literally no cushion.”

A memo that top Biden campaign staffers sent to supporters Thursday argued that the president has “multiple pathways to 270 electoral votes, with a focus on the Blue Wall states” — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. If those are the only swing states he wins, Biden also needs to win the congressional district in Omaha to hold on to the White House.

These states are “the clearest pathway to that aim, but we also believe that the Sun Belt States are not out of reach,” the memo continued.

Democrats and Republicans alike both privately and publicly say that — for now, at least — they believe the Sun Belt is out of reach, meaning Biden would have to hold Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to have any chance of returning to the White House.

In 2020, he flipped all three states into the Democratic column from 2016, winning them all by a narrow margin.

The panic among Democrats was sparked by the first presidential debate last month. Biden struggled to complete sentences, often seemed confused when answering questions and largely failed to challenge Trump on his agenda. Biden aides had hoped the debate would mark a turning point in the election and help Biden regain support among key constituents that have faded away during his presidency.

Instead, the debate turned into a political disaster, leading nearly two dozen Democratic lawmakers to privately or publicly call on him to step aside as of Friday amid fears he will lose to Trump in November. Biden’s performance has convulsed the Democratic Party as politicians, strategists, donors and voters engage in anguished debate over whether Vice President Harris would pose a more formidable challenge to Trump.

Howard Wolfson, an adviser to Hillary Clinton’s 2008 presidential campaign who now works for former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg, said that when Democrats can play in traditionally red states, that means they are “in good shape” — but right now, he thinks the only three truly competitive states are the Blue Wall.

“There is no other path,” Wolfson said. “It is more likely we lose a blue state than win a red state. It is more likely we lose New Hampshire or New Mexico than we win Arizona or Nevada. The map is bad. It has really constricted.”

Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio was more blunt, saying that after the debate, his team was “tracking as many as 322 electoral votes.”

“At this juncture, I stopped counting at 25 different paths to 270,” said Fabrizio, who added that the Trump campaign views Georgia and Arizona as two pivotal states.

The Biden campaign resisted the idea that the president’s paths to victory have shrunk and said that while the three Blue Wall states may currently represent the strongest route to 270, it is hardly the only one.

“The reality is that we do have multiple pathways and we’ve always had multiple pathways to victory in this race,” said Dan Kanninen, Biden’s battleground states director.

Kanninen said that when the truly up-for-grabs voters start paying attention closer to November, the “political gravity” of what is at stake will become “undeniable” and the contrast between Biden and Trump will benefit Biden.

“It’s not that Trump has gained support,” he said. “It’s that we have some work to do to shore up our own support. And we have a plan to do it.”

The Biden campaign pointed to a $50 million media blitz announced the first week of July in battleground states — a group that includes not only the Blue Wall but also Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina — as well as its robust on-the-ground presence as signs that it is ceding no states to Trump.

In Georgia, the Biden campaign has more than 120 staffers working in 16 field offices throughout the state, with eight more offices set to open next week. And in North Carolina, the Biden campaign has 20 campaign offices and more than 100 staffers — a number it plans to double by the end of the month.

The Washington Post’s presidential polling average right now shows that Trump leads Biden in six of the seven battleground states that are most likely to determine the election. In the Blue Wall states, the polls are so close that the race remains within the margin of error. But in the Sun Belt states — Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina — Trump’s advantage is more significant: He leads Biden by six points in Georgia and by five points in the other three.

Republican strategists working for independent groups supporting Trump, who have their own internal polling, have not yet declared victory.

“The only number that has significantly moved outside the margin of error was the too-old ‘Grandpa’ question,” said Dave Carney, the strategist for Preserve America, a pro-Trump super PAC funded by Las Vegas Sands owner Miriam Adelson that plans to start spending in the Blue Wall states in late July. He added that Trump was ahead, though inside the margin of error, in those states.

MAGA Inc., another major advertiser for Trump, announced Friday that it was canceling reservations in Georgia to add money to Arizona — a state Biden flipped to Democrats in 2020 — where some research showed recent Biden gains.

“There may be chaos in D.C., but there’s still a race to run,” said a senior official at the group, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe internal data. “Arizona is a state we have watched closely, and recent internal polling has led to a shift in resources. The floor hasn’t yet fallen out for Biden, but a couple sticks of dynamite strapped to the floor boards should change that.”

Among Democrats, there is also some private consternation that traditionally blue states like Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Virginia may now be in play — or may at least represent states where Democrats have to allocate resources playing defense.

“In all fairness, I put Minnesota and Virginia on the map back in May,” Fabrizio said, adding that the Trump campaign views them as true “battleground states” rather than reaches.

The Democratic Party chairs in Minnesota and New Hampshire said this week that they expect their states to be tight, single-digit races, though they were not yet detecting any sharp polling movement since the debate.

“Trump is a trophy collector — he collects trophy properties and trophy wives,” said Ken Martin, chair of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party, which is the name used by that state’s party. “There is no bigger trophy than taking Minnesota.”

Independent groups supporting Biden have begun conversations about revisiting their own advertising plans in southern states, though no decisions have been made because of doubts over whom the nominee will be and how he or she will fare in polls, according to people familiar with the conversations. The two biggest groups running ads backing Biden — Future Forward and American Bridge — have not been on the air in recent weeks.

“The polling is obviously not what we hoped for,” said former Nevada governor Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, who narrowly lost his reelection race in 2022. “The debate was not what we hoped for, but it’s still four months away.”

He added: “We need a change in narrative to Donald Trump and his lies.”

Some Democrats remain hopeful that the Republican National Convention, which starts Monday in Milwaukee, will provide a reset and refocus the nation on Trump, his policy agenda and his legal challenges. But Biden is slated to sit for a prime-time interview with NBC News on Monday and may participate in additional interviews later in the week, opening new opportunities for critics to seize on any mistakes.

Nancy Zdunkewicz, a Democratic pollster and founder of Z to A Research, has told fellow Democrats that Biden is no longer safe in any state he won by 10 points or less four years ago.

“My back-of-hand math is: If we’re worried about seats or districts or states that Biden carried by nine, 10, 11, 12 points, and he’s running neck-and-neck with Trump — or even a couple of points behind — that’s pretty bad,” Zdunkewicz said. “That means we can’t count on them, and that’s what’s freaking out all of these members.”

A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll this week shows Biden performing worse with key Democratic groups — young voters, Black voters and Hispanic voters — than he did four years ago. Among registered voters ages 18 to 29, Biden leads Trump 47 percent to 41 percent — far smaller than his 24-point advantage in 2020 exit polls and comparable sources. Among Black registered voters, Biden leads Trump 79 percent to 15 percent — a slight drop from the Black voters who favored Biden 87-12 in exit polls. And among Hispanic voters, Biden leads Trump 49 percent to 42 percent — again far smaller than his 33-point advantage in 2020.

Despite those drop-offs, Biden nonetheless remained tied with Trump in the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll, and the president outperformed his 2020 support among White voters, men and people ages 65 and older.

Many Democrats agree that Biden did not suddenly plummet in the polls following the debate. But they worry that the event did not serve its intended purpose — to transform the race into a referendum on the former president rather than the current one — and now say Biden has even more ground to recover if he hopes to pull ahead of Trump by Election Day on Nov. 5.

“I don’t think the debate changed anything, but the whole point of the debate was to change everything,” said a Democratic strategist currently working on several House and Senate races. “We were losing and we had to shift the conversation, and instead we shifted the conversation onto the wrong subject.”

A year ago, Doug Sosnik, who was former president Bill Clinton’s political director in the White House, said he assessed Trump had a “marginal advantage” over Biden in reaching 270 electoral votes. As states in the Sun Belt have drifted away from Biden, Sosnik’s outlook for Biden has become more pessimistic.

“If you’re looking at this clear-eyed, it’s hard to not look at where the race stands and think Trump has a pretty significant advantage,” he said.

Zac Petkanas, president of Petkanas Strategies who ran rapid-response operations for Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign, acknowledged that the contest is shaping up to be “tough, competitive, and hard-fought” and that “Donald Trump could win and Joe Biden could win.” But he said that four months from Election Day is far too early to draw any meaningful conclusions.

“I don’t buy the idea that certain battleground states are off the table in July,” he said. “The freakout is that we have a competitive race on our hands, and that’s the state of play in July.”

Scott Clement in Washington contributed to this report.

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